Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI have the #1 AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.990 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 1.01 |
| $0.989 |
| $1 |
| Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in February?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in February?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.983 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in February?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 by December 31, 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.993 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.975 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of December 2025?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.979 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.972 | $1 | Dec 25, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model on October 31?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.996 | $2 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5400 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.988 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Ethereum reach $5600 in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in October?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.989 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $135k in October?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Anthropic have the top AI model on October 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Apple be the most valuable company on October 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the most valuable company on October 31?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.982 | $1 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on September 30?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Sep 15, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on August 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.964 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.934 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.974 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 3.1 | $0.969 | $3 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on July 31?No | buy | 2.05 | $0.974 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on July 31?Yes | buy | 3.1 | $0.967 | $3 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 2.1 | $0.952 | $2 | Jul 26, 2025 |
| Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?No | buy | 1.44 | $0.972 | $1.4 | Jun 26, 2025 |
| Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 3.11 | $0.965 | $3 | May 28, 2025 |
 Will Zootopia 2 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 5.8 | $0.242 | $1.4 | May 7, 2025 |
 Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | May 7, 2025 |
 Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.981 | $4.91 | Apr 11, 2025 |
 Government coalition formed within 100 days of German election?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.937 | $4.69 | Apr 7, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | sell | 14.92 | $0.948 | $14.14 | Nov 15, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?Yes | buy | 14.92 | $0.949 | $14.16 | Nov 15, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.35K | $0.579 | $1.36K | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 14.11 | $0.840 | $11.85 | Oct 21, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 2.67K | $0.385 | $1.03K | Oct 21, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 14.12 | $0.850 | $12 | Oct 21, 2024 |
| Will a Democrat win Virginia Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 22.46 | $0.870 | $19.54 | Oct 11, 2024 |