Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 100 | $0.390 | $47.5 | +$8.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 100 | $0.440 | $44 | 6d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 57.14 |
| $0.350 |
| $3.71 |
| -$16.29 |
 Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 1.6K | $0.142 | $0.8 | -$227.2 |
| sell |
| 44.1 |
| $0.977 |
| $43.09 |
| 6d ago |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | sell | 80 | $0.926 | $74.08 | Jul 14, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?No | buy | 80 | $0.649 | $51.92 | Jul 14, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 198.2 | $0.454 | $90 | Feb 18, 2026 |
 Will Khamenei leave Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.060 | $20 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?Yes | buy | 57.14 | $0.350 | $20 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 192.31 | $0.520 | $100 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | sell | 117.64 | $0.880 | $103.52 | Feb 17, 2026 |
 US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | sell | 48.19 | $0.790 | $38.07 | Feb 17, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.220 | $66 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 92 | $0.230 | $21.16 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.100 | $20 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 800 | $0.150 | $120 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 88.89 | $0.450 | $40 | Jan 12, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 266.67 | $0.150 | $40 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| US strike on Colombia by December 31?No | buy | 48.19 | $0.830 | $40 | Jan 12, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?No | buy | 117.65 | $0.850 | $100 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 131.58 | $0.038 | $5 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 68.97 | $0.290 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 82.06 | $0.487 | $40 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 48.78 | $0.410 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 105.26 | $0.190 | $20 | Jan 11, 2026 |
 FIFA Intercontinental Cup: PSG vs. Flamengo - WinnerFlamengo | buy | 27.03 | $0.370 | $10 | Dec 17, 2025 |
| Will Flamengo win in regular time against PSG?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.055 | $55 | Dec 16, 2025 |
 No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.556 | $55.56 | Dec 16, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 110 | $0.042 | $4.62 | Dec 12, 2025 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.480 | $2.4 | Dec 11, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 560.07 | $0.049 | $27.46 | Dec 8, 2025 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | sell | 45.5 | $0.934 | $42.5 | Dec 8, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | sell | 840.58 | $0.290 | $243.67 | Dec 7, 2025 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 105.64 | $0.422 | $44.59 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 479.79 | $0.208 | $100 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 44.1 | $0.907 | $40 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 177.19 | $0.226 | $40 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No | buy | 45.51 | $0.879 | $40 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 183.59 | $0.218 | $40 | Dec 6, 2025 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 51.28 | $0.390 | $20 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.200 | $40 | Dec 2, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | sell | 23.25 | $0.559 | $13 | Dec 2, 2025 |
| Maduro out in 2025?Yes | buy | 76.92 | $0.260 | $20 | Nov 30, 2025 |
| No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil's January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.410 | $20.5 | Nov 28, 2025 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by December 31?Yes | buy | 20.69 | $0.170 | $3.52 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.380 | $22.8 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Carlos Roberto Massa Júnior win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes | buy | 689.66 | $0.029 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?Yes | buy | 46.51 | $0.430 | $20 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Nov 27, 2025 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.180 | $18 | Nov 25, 2025 |