Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 0.84 | $0.990 | $0.83 | Jul 9, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 4.4 |
| $0.190 |
| $0.84 |
| Jul 6, 2025 |
 Will Kylian Mbappé be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?No | sell | 0.9 | $0.957 | $0.86 | Jul 6, 2025 |
 South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?No | sell | 0.77 | $0.180 | $0.14 | Jul 5, 2025 |
 Plasma >$4B market cap (FDV) one day after launch?No | sell | 4.05 | $0.330 | $1.34 | Jul 5, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?No | sell | 0.26 | $0.992 | $0.26 | Jul 4, 2025 |
 Will Shohei Ohtani win the 2025 NL MVP?No | sell | 0.36 | $0.130 | $0.05 | Jul 3, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 1.69 | $0.871 | $1.47 | Jul 1, 2025 |
 Megaquake in June?No | sell | 0.43 | $0.993 | $0.43 | Jun 30, 2025 |
 Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.440 | $1.76 | Jun 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump create a DOGE dividend in 2025?Yes | sell | 1 | $0.031 | $0.03 | Jun 25, 2025 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 3.08 | $0.068 | $0.21 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| South Korea First Lady Keon-hee arrested in 2025?No | sell | 3.96 | $0.140 | $0.55 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?No | sell | 3.8 | $0.580 | $2.2 | Jun 23, 2025 |
 Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?No | sell | 0.31 | $0.923 | $0.29 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Kylian Mbappé be the top goalscorer at the 2025 FIFA Club World Cup?Yes | sell | 0.94 | $0.002 | $0 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 0.99 | $0.081 | $0.08 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Megaquake in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.06 | $0.320 | $0.66 | Jun 22, 2025 |
 Will XRP dip to $1.7 in June?No | sell | 3.78 | $0.840 | $3.18 | Jun 21, 2025 |
| Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | sell | 4.6 | $0.057 | $0.26 | Jun 21, 2025 |
 Will Solana dip to $100 in June?Yes | sell | 0.95 | $0.038 | $0.04 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain in 2025?No | sell | 1.86 | $0.530 | $0.99 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?No | sell | 1.99 | $0.818 | $1.63 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | sell | 0.37 | $0.620 | $0.23 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Solana ETF approved by July 31?No | sell | 3.78 | $0.280 | $1.06 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?Yes | sell | 0.9 | $0.050 | $0.05 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 US military action on Yemen before July?Yes | sell | 0.13 | $0.063 | $0.01 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran before August?Yes | sell | 0.14 | $0.035 | $0 | Jun 16, 2025 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?Yes | sell | 2.37 | $0.033 | $0.08 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| US military action on Yemen before July?Yes | sell | 1.95 | $0.159 | $0.31 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will "How to Train Your Dragon" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $99m?No | sell | 1 | $0.981 | $0.98 | Jun 14, 2025 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran before July?No | sell | 0.65 | $0.963 | $0.63 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on June 11?No | sell | 1 | $0.605 | $0.61 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?No | sell | 1 | $0.249 | $0.25 | Jun 11, 2025 |
 Gavin Newsom arrested by Friday?Yes | sell | 0.66 | $0.003 | $0 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| US military action on Yemen before July?Yes | sell | 0.68 | $0.042 | $0.03 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will "Dead Outlaw" win the Tony for Best Musical 2025?No | sell | 0.67 | $0.935 | $0.63 | Jun 8, 2025 |
 Will Amazon purchase Bitcoin before July?No | sell | 3.94 | $0.988 | $3.89 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.6% in 2025?No | sell | 4 | $0.231 | $0.92 | Jun 6, 2025 |
| Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | sell | 0.86 | $0.822 | $0.71 | Jun 6, 2025 |
 Will Nicolás Maduro be the first leader out in 2025?No | sell | 4.26 | $0.975 | $4.15 | Jun 4, 2025 |
 Will the Minnesota Lynx win the 2025 WNBA Championship?Yes | sell | 0.35 | $0.240 | $0.08 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | buy | 12.69 | $0.450 | $5.71 | Jun 2, 2025 |
 Italian Citizenship Residency Requirement ReferendumNo | sell | 0.58 | $0.960 | $0.56 | Jun 2, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 0.54 | $0.480 | $0.26 | Jun 1, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?Yes | sell | 0.87 | $0.410 | $0.36 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Trump spend >25% of 2025 presidency golfing?No | sell | 1.51 | $0.540 | $0.82 | Jun 1, 2025 |
 Will Israel annex Gazan territory before July?No | sell | 0.76 | $0.970 | $0.74 | May 31, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?No | sell | 0.71 | $0.330 | $0.23 | May 31, 2025 |
 Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?No | sell | 4.38 | $0.980 | $4.29 | May 30, 2025 |