Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.8%. Yes opened at 29% on 20 Feb 2025. Before it settled, the high was 32.5% on 5 Mar 2025 and the low 0.1% on 22 Dec 2025. Its largest one-day move was 9.3 points up, to 11.9% on 3 Oct 2025. $236.23K traded over the market's life.
68 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:31 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 317 points · 20 Feb 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 20 Feb 2025 | 29.0% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.3% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| FishBotATH | No | 8.63K |
| predict00r | Yes | 3.8K |
| genghisbrain | Yes | 3.6K |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any federal legislation or performs any executive action that creates a ‘DOGE dividend’ by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any cash transfer, tax credit, or other comparable financial transfer which is referred to as a DOGE dividend, or which is otherwise directly funded by savings created by the Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) will qualify. Any bill signed into law or executive action taken within this market's time frame will qualify, regardless of when the law or action goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible information will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-create-a-doge-dividend-in-2025
| SamCrosling | Yes | 2.94K |
| lissartter | Yes | 2.58K |
| Spade75 | Yes | 2.23K |
| NorthernTradingGroupNTG | Yes | 810 |
| bogdanv | Yes | 682 |
| ivomax | Yes | 539.24 |
| Chozen1 | Yes | 500.04 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
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