Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 675.68 | $0.037 | $109.12 | +$84.12 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 US strikes Iran by January 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.090 | $5 | Jan 15, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 626.95 |
| $0.040 |
| $39.81 |
| +$14.81 |
 Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 300 | $0.050 | $16.95 | +$1.95 |
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 54.05 | $0.370 | $7.7 | -$12.3 |
| buy |
| 148.33 |
| $0.148 |
| $22 |
| Jan 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?No | buy | 85.71 | $0.350 | $30 | Dec 4, 2025 |
| Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?No | buy | 151.79 | $0.560 | $85 | Dec 4, 2025 |
 US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?No | buy | 43.48 | $0.460 | $20 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | sell | 90 | $0.944 | $84.95 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 119.44 | $0.250 | $29.86 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?No | sell | 34.72 | $0.860 | $29.86 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 116.72 | $0.250 | $29.18 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Diddy by Friday?Yes | buy | 434.29 | $0.069 | $30 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | sell | 70 | $0.643 | $45.01 | Oct 14, 2025 |
| US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?No | buy | 51.28 | $0.487 | $25 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?No | sell | 39.69 | $0.995 | $39.49 | Oct 13, 2025 |
 Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 60% and 100% on November 12?Yes | buy | 541.62 | $0.037 | $20 | Oct 11, 2025 |
| Will the U.S. tariff rate on China be between 100% and 150% on November 12?Yes | buy | 86.96 | $0.230 | $20 | Oct 11, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?Yes | buy | 66.42 | $0.075 | $5 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Thousand / Million / Billion" 10+ times during events with President of Finland on Oct 9?Yes | buy | 307.33 | $0.010 | $3 | Oct 9, 2025 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 54.05 | $0.370 | $20 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 James Comey arrested by October 31?No | sell | 79.92 | $0.951 | $75.98 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.050 | $15 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 626.95 | $0.040 | $25 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 675.68 | $0.037 | $25 | Oct 8, 2025 |
 Will Taylor Swift say "Travis" or "Kelce" 3+ times during Tonight Show on October 6?Yes | buy | 43.65 | $0.458 | $20 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| James Comey arrested by October 31?No | sell | 100 | $0.370 | $36.96 | Oct 6, 2025 |
| OpenAI browser by October 31?No | buy | 68.97 | $0.580 | $40 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Democratic sweep?No | buy | 74.72 | $0.268 | $20 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| James Comey arrested by October 31?No | buy | 179.93 | $0.278 | $50 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will House and Senate pass funding bill by October 15?No | buy | 39.7 | $0.630 | $25 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?Yes | buy | 160 | $0.250 | $40 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?No | buy | 34.72 | $0.720 | $25 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 735.29 | $0.034 | $25 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will RFK Jr. win <1% of the popular vote?No | buy | 229.32 | $0.190 | $43.57 | Oct 5, 2024 |
 Who will win the VP debate according to polls?Vance | buy | 18.18 | $0.660 | $12 | Oct 2, 2024 |
 Will Tim Walz say "VC" or "Venture Capitalist" during the debate?No | buy | 43.1 | $0.580 | $25 | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz say "Abortion" 5 or more times during the debate?Yes | buy | 75.76 | $0.330 | $25 | Oct 1, 2024 |
| Will Tim Walz say "Kamala Harris" 15 or more times during the debate?No | buy | 68.18 | $0.220 | $15 | Oct 1, 2024 |
 Will Israel invade Lebanon before November?No | buy | 213.68 | $0.117 | $25 | Oct 1, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump say "moderator" during his North Carolina rally?Yes | buy | 133.33 | $0.150 | $20 | Sep 20, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "China" 5 or more times during his North Carolina rally?No | buy | 142.86 | $0.140 | $20 | Sep 20, 2024 |
| Will Donald Trump say "Comrade Kamala" 3 or more times during his North Carolina rally?Yes | buy | 83.24 | $0.240 | $20 | Sep 20, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris say "Israel" during Oprah livestream?Yes | buy | 38.75 | $0.387 | $15 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "JD Vance" during Oprah livestream?Yes | buy | 140.63 | $0.320 | $45 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris say "black" 3 or more times during Oprah livestream?No | buy | 62.5 | $0.320 | $20 | Sep 19, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 80.65 | $0.620 | $50 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump launch a coin before the election?No | buy | 97.33 | $0.750 | $73 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.400 | $30 | Sep 19, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "Slopadopoulos" during his Nevada rally?No | buy | 47.62 | $0.420 | $20 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "50 border states" during his Nevada rally?No | buy | 29.85 | $0.670 | $20 | Sep 13, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "tampon" during his Nevada rally?No | buy | 47.86 | $0.418 | $20 | Sep 13, 2024 |