Analytics
Resolved Yes on 14 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 55%. Yes opened at 47.5% on 13 Sep 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 13 Sep 2024 to 14 Sep 2024, the highest close was 55% on 14 Sep 2024 and the lowest 47.5% on 13 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 7.5 points up, to 55% on 14 Sep 2024. $80.28K traded over the market's life.
8 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 15, 5:47 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 13 Sep 2024 – 14 Sep 2024, chart shows 45%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2024 | 47.5% |
| 14 Sep 2024 | 55.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| oscardecosta | No | 554.9 |
| Schrute | No | 454.8 |
| Bilz264 | No | 281.44 |
| pvtjkr | No | 130 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Donald Trump has scheduled a rally to be held on September 13 in Las Vegas, Nevada. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump says "tampon" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "tampon" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the feminine hygiene product. If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 13, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-trump-say-during-nevada-rally
| Ferasi | No | 39.37 |
| screwed-up-again | No | 8.21 |
| stacy | Yes | 0.07 |
| Cobalt Beacon 89BF | No | 0.01 |
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