Analytics
Paper trading
Resolved No on 2 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 55%. Yes opened at 50% on 25 Sep 2024. Before it settled, the high was 50% on 25 Sep 2024 and the low 29% on 26 Sep 2024. Its largest one-day move was 21 points down, to 29% on 26 Sep 2024. $179.46K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 4:56 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 8 points, 25 Sep 2024 – 2 Oct 2024, chart shows 20%–60%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 25 Sep 2024 | 50.0% |
| 2 Oct 2024 | 45.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| DEMONCRAT | Yes | 1.49K |
| LowEnergyJeb | Yes | 1K |
| 0xfatfarmer | Yes | 127.23 |
| user1234567 | Yes | 55 |
| lethalcheese | Yes | 18.52 |
| ryand1224 | Yes | 2 |
| Larenz | Yes | 1.28 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This is a market on predicting the statements made by Tim Walz during the upcoming debate.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-tim-walz-say-during-the-vp-debate
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