Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? | No | 2 | $0.500 | $1.77 | +$0.77 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 44.12 | $0.340 | $15 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 1.18 |
| $0.850 |
| $1.11 |
| +$0.11 |
 Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | Yes | 13.51 | $0.074 | $0.61 | -$0.39 |
 Iran nuclear test before 2027? | Yes | 7.69 | $0.130 | $0.35 | -$0.65 |
 Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch? | Yes | 6.25 | $0.160 | $0.24 | -$0.76 |
| buy |
| 5.93 |
| $0.420 |
| $2.49 |
| Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-07?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.400 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07?Yes | buy | 5.71 | $0.350 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.420 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.380 | $2 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Anthropic CEO arrested?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.044 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?No | buy | 1K | $0.001 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
| Iran nuclear test before 2027?Yes | buy | 7.69 | $0.130 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | sell | 121.92 | $0.025 | $3.08 | Feb 23, 2026 |
 Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 75M and 100M views in its first 7 days?Yes | buy | 6.94 | $0.360 | $2.5 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?Yes | sell | 2.77 | $0.370 | $1.02 | Feb 10, 2026 |
| Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | buy | 116.67 | $0.300 | $35 | Feb 10, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Trump out as President before 2027?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 100M and 125M views in its first 7 days?Yes | buy | 2.78 | $0.360 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.074 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Bad Bunny have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?Yes | buy | 5.26 | $0.190 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 6.13 | $0.163 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 13.51 | $0.074 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?Yes | buy | 2.48 | $0.403 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 16.75 | $0.060 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?Yes | buy | 6.9 | $0.145 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Starmer out by February 28, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.62 | $0.178 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Starmer out by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.21 | $0.828 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Will Wesley Hunt win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?No | buy | 1.17 | $0.858 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.85 | $0.540 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?Yes | buy | 1.69 | $0.590 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
| Ostium FDV above $700M one day after launch?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?Yes | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.220 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 14.03 | $0.071 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.030 | $1 | Feb 9, 2026 |