Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election? | No | 39.65 | $0.953 | $36.54 | -$1.25 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the Brazil election?No | buy | 39.65 | $0.953 | $37.79 | 5d ago |
 |
| buy |
| 37.89 |
| $0.920 |
| $34.86 |
| 21d ago |
 Will John James win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?Yes | buy | 35.37 | $0.945 | $33.44 | Jul 29, 2026 |
 Will Ed FitzGerald be the Democratic nominee for OH-07?No | buy | 33.2 | $0.912 | $30.28 | Apr 28, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 April 13-19?No | buy | 20.76 | $0.982 | $20.39 | Apr 16, 2026 |
 Will André Maestrini be the next CEO of Lululemon?No | sell | 5.42 | $0.203 | $1.1 | Apr 9, 2026 |
 Will the ECB announce no change at the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.54 | $0.994 | $14.45 | Mar 17, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.91 | $0.570 | $6.22 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by March 31?Yes | sell | 13.81 | $0.012 | $0.17 | Feb 27, 2026 |
| Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon?No | sell | 11.33 | $0.712 | $8.07 | Feb 6, 2026 |
 Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | sell | 5.36 | $0.973 | $5.22 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | sell | 10.03 | $0.920 | $9.23 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 14 | $0.680 | $9.52 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | sell | 21.44 | $0.450 | $9.65 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No | sell | 10.96 | $0.921 | $10.09 | Feb 4, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 10.37 | $0.976 | $10.12 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 11.05 | $0.920 | $10.17 | Feb 4, 2026 |
 Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | sell | 43.16 | $0.399 | $17.24 | Jan 29, 2026 |
 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | sell | 7.17 | $0.770 | $5.52 | Jan 21, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?No | sell | 10.09 | $0.560 | $5.65 | Jan 15, 2026 |
 Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | sell | 9.78 | $0.750 | $7.33 | Jan 13, 2026 |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?No | buy | 7.18 | $0.800 | $5.74 | Jan 10, 2026 |
 Will US GDP growth in 2025 be greater than 2.5%?No | sell | 10.6 | $0.914 | $9.69 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | sell | 15.78 | $0.610 | $9.63 | Jan 8, 2026 |
 Will the US add more than 125k jobs in December?Yes | buy | 52.21 | $0.183 | $9.58 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 11.06 | $0.890 | $9.84 | Jan 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?No | buy | 15.78 | $0.600 | $9.47 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by March 31?No | buy | 10.09 | $0.530 | $5.35 | Jan 6, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 21.44 | $0.450 | $9.65 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela become 51st state?No | buy | 5.36 | $0.966 | $5.18 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30?No | buy | 8.41 | $0.750 | $6.31 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 10.04 | $0.850 | $8.53 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 10.91 | $0.690 | $7.53 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 14 | $0.500 | $7 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 10.38 | $0.950 | $9.86 | Jan 5, 2026 |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?No | buy | 10.97 | $0.900 | $9.87 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | sell | 12.64 | $0.001 | $0.01 | Jan 3, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA reach $200 in December?No | buy | 6.1 | $0.900 | $5.49 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?No | buy | 43.17 | $0.180 | $7.77 | Dec 28, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes | sell | 26.75 | $0.020 | $0.54 | Dec 24, 2025 |
| Maduro out by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.65 | $0.620 | $7.84 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | sell | 7.13 | $0.760 | $5.42 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?Yes | buy | 26.75 | $0.200 | $5.35 | Dec 23, 2025 |
| Will US GDP growth in 2025 be between 2.0% and 2.5%?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.730 | $5.21 | Dec 22, 2025 |
 SpaceX (Space Exploration Technologies Corp.) IPO before 2027?No | sell | 42.52 | $0.240 | $10.2 | Dec 21, 2025 |
 Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?No | sell | 36.52 | $0.154 | $5.62 | Dec 20, 2025 |
| Will Emily White be the next CEO of Lululemon?No | buy | 9.49 | $0.980 | $9.3 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?No | buy | 9.78 | $0.730 | $7.14 | Dec 19, 2025 |
 S&P 500 all time high by December 31?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.410 | $9.32 | Dec 19, 2025 |
| Will annual inflation increase by ≤2.8% in December?No | buy | 36.52 | $0.161 | $5.88 | Dec 18, 2025 |