Analytics
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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31? | Yes | 400 | $0.080 | $30 | -$2 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 28.57 | $0.140 | $4 | 4d ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 221.25 |
| $0.045 |
| $14.27 |
| +$4.27 |
| Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? | Yes | 91.07 | $0.154 | $11.38 | -$2.62 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 451.13 | $0.040 | $9.92 | -$8.07 |
 US x China Military clash before 2027? | Yes | 194.44 | $0.051 | $9.72 | -$0.28 |
| Iran full airspace closure by September 30? | Yes | 100 | $0.100 | $8.5 | -$1.5 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30? | Yes | 650 | $0.023 | $8.13 | -$6.87 |
 UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? | Yes | 116.28 | $0.043 | $5.06 | +$0.06 |
 Iran invades Kuwait by October 31? | Yes | 376.34 | $0.045 | $4.52 | -$12.48 |
 Will Somalia join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $4.5 | -$0.5 |
 US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30? | Yes | 117.35 | $0.043 | $2.87 | -$2.13 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 50 | $0.100 | $0.85 | -$4.15 |
| buy |
| 100 |
| $0.100 |
| $10 |
| 8d ago |
| Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?Yes | buy | 157.86 | $0.044 | $7 | 8d ago |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 147.06 | $0.034 | $5 | 8d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.020 | $5 | 8d ago |
 Will Iran target an Arab country by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 200.25 | $0.040 | $8 | 9d ago |
| Iran invades Kuwait by October 31?Yes | buy | 218.48 | $0.046 | $10 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by December 31?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.080 | $32 | 9d ago |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by September 30?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.025 | $10 | 9d ago |
 Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 37.5 | $0.003 | $0.11 | 9d ago |
 Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 103.83 | $0.867 | $89.98 | 10d ago |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 18.22 | $0.494 | $9 | 11d ago |
 US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 22.72 | $0.402 | $9.13 | 11d ago |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.71 | $0.738 | $2 | 11d ago |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40.05 | $0.749 | $30 | 11d ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 33.33 | $0.971 | $32.36 | 11d ago |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 88.33 | $0.034 | $3 | 14d ago |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 49.64 | $0.020 | $1 | 14d ago |
| Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 12.5 | $0.300 | $3.75 | 14d ago |
| U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by December 31?Yes | buy | 221.25 | $0.045 | $10 | 15d ago |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 132.41 | $0.038 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.040 | $2 | 15d ago |
| Will Somalia join the Mecca Agreement by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Will Iran target the United Arab Emirates by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | 15d ago |
| Will Iran target an Arab country by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.150 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | 15d ago |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.73 | $0.220 | $5 | 15d ago |
| US x China Military clash before 2027?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.045 | $5 | 15d ago |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 96.99 | $0.041 | $4 | 20d ago |
| UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026?Yes | buy | 116.28 | $0.043 | $5 | 20d ago |
| US announces withdrawal from Al Udeid Air Base by Sep 30?Yes | buy | 117.35 | $0.043 | $5 | 20d ago |
| Israel military action against Syria by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | 20d ago |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | sell | 19.04 | $0.967 | $18.41 | 20d ago |
| US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?No | buy | 19.05 | $0.420 | $8 | Aug 4, 2026 |
 Will Antonio Nusa win the Young Player Award at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 64.73 | $0.108 | $7 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Will a player representing Norway be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.071 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Will Korea Republic vs. Czechia end in a draw? AND Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | buy | 68.34 | $0.073 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?Yes | buy | 179.64 | $0.028 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?Yes | buy | 182.06 | $0.027 | $5 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 24.39 | $0.710 | $17.32 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | sell | 15.15 | $0.690 | $10.45 | Jun 10, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 15?Yes | buy | 92.73 | $0.032 | $3 | Jun 10, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?Yes | buy | 32.26 | $0.031 | $1 | Jun 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30?Yes | buy | 264.59 | $0.038 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will JD Vance attend NATO Summit?Yes | buy | 26.95 | $0.186 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?No | buy | 27.47 | $0.182 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?Yes | buy | 75.76 | $0.132 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Iran Play in the World Cup?No | buy | 154.12 | $0.032 | $5 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Israel closes its airspace by June 15?No | buy | 15.15 | $0.660 | $10 | Jun 7, 2026 |