Analytics
Resolved No on 9 Jul 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 52% on 4 Jun 2026. Before it settled, across the 36 daily closes on record from 4 Jun 2026 to 9 Jul 2026, the highest close was 52% on 4 Jun 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 9 Jul 2026. Its largest one-day move was 35 points down, to 17.5% on 5 Jun 2026. $20.79K traded over the market's life.
24 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jul 10, 8:24 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 36 points, 4 Jun 2026 – 9 Jul 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 4 Jun 2026 | 52.0% |
| 9 Jul 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Chanthol | Yes | 687.55 |
| matureman | Yes | 335.19 |
| Noupeinnouguein | Yes | 55.56 |
| IFZ | Yes | 50 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump attends the NATO Summit event scheduled for July 7, 2026 – July 8, 2026 in Ankara, Türkiye. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond August 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". Attending the NATO Summit is defined as being in physical attendance in the event at any point between the start and end of the Summit. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/will-trump-attend-nato-summit-279
| crop? | Yes | 50 |
| 4fee-s3 | Yes | 50 |
| Lavincey | Yes | 35 |
| hamza69 | Yes | 26.32 |
| Mstcx | Yes | 26.32 |
| Pecchiotto | Yes | 20 |
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