Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | No | 100 | $0.380 | $34.5 | -$3.5 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Icelandic European Union membership negotiations referendum passes?Yes | sell | 133.33 | $0.006 | $0.8 | 2h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 30 |
| $0.530 |
| $22.35 |
| +$6.45 |
 Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by December 31 | Yes | 100 | $0.170 | $16 | -$1 |
 Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.450 | $14 | -$8.5 |
 Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31? | Yes | 67.87 | $0.080 | $9.84 | +$4.41 |
 Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.070 | $9.5 | +$2.5 |
 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.350 | $9.5 | -$25.5 |
 Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 111.22 | $0.064 | $9.45 | +$2.35 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 49.99 | $0.170 | $7.25 | -$1.25 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in September? | Yes | 100 | $0.110 | $7 | -$4 |
 US x Cuba military clash in 2026? | Yes | 50 | $0.150 | $6.75 | -$0.75 |
 US strike on Cuba by December 31? | Yes | 50 | $0.150 | $6.75 | -$0.75 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 149.99 | $0.087 | $6.75 | -$6.25 |
 Will the PLQ win 44 or more seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | Yes | 100 | $0.050 | $6.65 | +$1.65 |
 US x Cuba economic deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 55.62 | $0.122 | $6.12 | -$0.69 |
 Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026? | No | 50 | $0.150 | $5.75 | -$1.75 |
 Will the CAQ win 25-29 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | Yes | 21 | $0.050 | $5.67 | +$4.62 |
 Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | Yes | 85.88 | $0.069 | $5.15 | -$0.78 |
 Will Trump rename an ocean in 2026? | Yes | 100 | $0.060 | $4.5 | -$1.5 |
 Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.062 | $4.5 | -$1.7 |
 Will 6 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 21 | $0.010 | $4.43 | +$4.22 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in September? | Yes | 100 | $0.060 | $3.65 | -$2.35 |
 Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by December 31? | Yes | 100 | $0.013 | $3.55 | +$2.25 |
| Will the PLQ win 40-43 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election? | Yes | 100 | $0.050 | $3.25 | -$1.75 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 50 | $0.130 | $3.25 | -$3.25 |
| sell |
| 20 |
| $0.460 |
| $9.2 |
| 3d ago |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.250 | $7.5 | 3d ago |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.530 | $10.6 | 5d ago |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.380 | $38 | 5d ago |
 Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.350 | $8.75 | 10d ago |
| Will the PLQ win 36-39 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes | sell | 21.97 | $0.180 | $3.95 | 10d ago |
 Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes | sell | 6.17 | $0.260 | $1.6 | 10d ago |
| Will the PQ win 50-54 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.240 | $4.8 | 10d ago |
| Will the PQ win fewer than 50 seats in the National Assembly of Quebec in this election?Yes | sell | 80.8 | $0.280 | $22.62 | 10d ago |
 Will at least 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.006 | $0.12 | 11d ago |
| Will another country leave OPEC in 2026?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.320 | $8 | 11d ago |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AugustSomething | sell | 50 | $0.002 | $0.09 | 11d ago |
 Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Cristobal?Yes | sell | 49.97 | $0.002 | $0.1 | 11d ago |
 Will Iran target a Arab country on August 28, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.002 | $0.1 | 11d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in August?Yes | sell | 405.02 | $0.003 | $1.22 | 11d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in August?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.002 | $0.2 | 11d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.026 | $1.3 | 11d ago |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | 13d ago |
 Will Daniel Gobeil win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?No | buy | 100 | $0.190 | $19 | 13d ago |
 U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.360 | $18 | 15d ago |
| U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.300 | $15 | 15d ago |
| Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.450 | $22.5 | 16d ago |
 Will Régis Gaudreault win the 2026 Chicoutimi—Le Fjord by-election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.037 | $3.67 | 16d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August?Yes | sell | 1K | $0.003 | $3 | 17d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in August?Yes | sell | 717.32 | $0.003 | $2.15 | 18d ago |
 US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?Yes | sell | 49.98 | $0.164 | $8.18 | 18d ago |
| US-Canada diplomatic agreement to lower tariffs by August 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.180 | $9 | 18d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.530 | $26.5 | 18d ago |
 Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 11.16 | $0.500 | $5.58 | 19d ago |
| Will there be Houthi military action against Saudi Arabia by August 15, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.500 | $10.01 | 19d ago |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.710 | $7.1 | 23d ago |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.006 | $0.31 | 25d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 49.99 | $0.170 | $8.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?No | buy | 50 | $0.130 | $6.5 | Aug 9, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.250 | $25 | Aug 9, 2026 |
 Will a European country take military action on Iran by August 31?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.015 | $0.75 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?No | sell | 30 | $0.640 | $19.2 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by August 31?Yes | sell | 250 | $0.040 | $10 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.040 | $8 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.270 | $13.5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 Will there be fewer than 25 average daily transits of the Bab el-Mandeb Strait on August 31?Yes | sell | 10.1 | $0.050 | $0.51 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?Yes | sell | 20 | $0.070 | $1.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 29.99 | $0.710 | $21.29 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $55 in August?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.015 | $7.5 | Aug 5, 2026 |
 US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?Yes | buy | 13 | $0.730 | $9.49 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Yes | buy | 30 | $0.080 | $2.4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Will 100 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between August 3-August 9?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| Iran successfully targets shipping by August 9, 2026?No | buy | 30 | $0.487 | $14.62 | Aug 5, 2026 |
| US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.350 | $35 | Aug 5, 2026 |