Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 22.73 | $0.440 | $11.48 | +$1.48 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 22.73 | $0.440 | $10 | Jun 15, 2026 |
 |
| No |
| 11.11 |
| $0.450 |
| $5.28 |
| +$0.28 |
 Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026? | Down | 50 | $0.100 | $4.5 | -$0.5 |
 Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | Yes | 2.63 | $0.380 | $2.46 | +$1.46 |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | No | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1.15 | +$0.15 |
 GTA 6 launch postponed again? | Yes | 16.13 | $0.310 | $1.05 | -$3.95 |
 SBF released from custody in 2026? | Yes | 33.33 | $0.060 | $0.78 | -$1.22 |
 Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | Yes | 22.22 | $0.045 | $0.77 | -$0.23 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | Yes | 3.23 | $0.310 | $0.47 | -$0.53 |
 Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 43.48 | $0.023 | $0.15 | -$0.85 |
 Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? | Yes | 7.14 | $0.140 | $0.12 | -$0.88 |
 Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 142.86 | $0.007 | $0.07 | -$0.93 |
| buy |
| 71.43 |
| $0.070 |
| $5 |
| May 20, 2026 |
 Starmer out by May 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Apr 17, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No | buy | 90.91 | $0.011 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.045 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 2.89 | $0.346 | $1 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?Yes | buy | 4.76 | $0.200 | $0.95 | Apr 15, 2026 |
| Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?Yes | buy | 21.28 | $0.047 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | buy | 7.14 | $0.140 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?Yes | buy | 4.15 | $0.230 | $0.95 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 43.48 | $0.023 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.007 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 2.33 | $0.430 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Will Trump post "Make Iran Great Again" or "MIGA" on Truth Social this week?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.004 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Apr 14, 2026 |
 Grok 5 released by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.56 | $0.180 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Google Gemini score at least 55% on Humanity’s Last Exam?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will DeepSeek have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?Yes | buy | 77.85 | $0.013 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Tech Layoffs Up or Down in 2026?Down | buy | 50 | $0.100 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| SBF released from custody in 2026?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Clavicular cry on stream by May 1, 2026Yes | buy | 3.83 | $0.261 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?No | buy | 3.57 | $0.280 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 GTA VI released before June 2026?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.019 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.380 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Netflix Inc (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?No | buy | 9.48 | $0.096 | $0.91 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Crude Oil all time high by April 30?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.080 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.008 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?No | buy | 11.11 | $0.450 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.190 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?No | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.003 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 13?Up | buy | 4.26 | $0.220 | $0.94 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on April 13?Down | buy | 98.61 | $0.009 | $0.92 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?Yes | buy | 395 | $0.005 | $2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.310 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?No | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 14?No | buy | 91.78 | $0.047 | $4.31 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Nothing Ever Happens: AprilSomething | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Amazon acquire TikTok?Yes | buy | 54.2 | $0.092 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Google (GOOGL) Up or Down on April 13?Up | buy | 21.31 | $0.220 | $4.69 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 QQQ (QQQ) Up or Down on April 13?Up | buy | 16.51 | $0.344 | $5.69 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?No | buy | 15.24 | $0.310 | $4.72 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?No | buy | 89.29 | $0.056 | $5 | Apr 13, 2026 |