Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Venezuela election scheduled by December 31, 2026? | No | 15.63 | $0.640 | $13.13 | +$3.13 |
 Fed rate hike in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | sell | 4.54 | $0.210 | $0.95 | 19h ago |
 |
| Yes |
| 12.9 |
| $0.388 |
| $11.54 |
| +$6.54 |
 Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? | No | 7.14 | $0.420 | $6.07 | +$3.07 |
 Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 9.8 | $0.510 | $4.26 | -$0.74 |
 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | Yes | 7.89 | $0.380 | $2.88 | -$0.12 |
 Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? | Yes | 30 | $0.170 | $2.1 | -$3 |
 Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo | Yes | 29.41 | $0.170 | $1.91 | -$3.09 |
 Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 14.29 | $0.350 | $1.64 | -$3.36 |
 Will Iran Reconstruction Funding be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? | Yes | 12.82 | $0.390 | $1.47 | -$3.53 |
 Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? | Yes | 14.69 | $0.340 | $1.4 | -$3.6 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 9.52 | $0.210 | $1.24 | -$0.76 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | Yes | 10 | $0.200 | $1.05 | -$0.95 |
 Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 4.35 | $0.690 | $0.8 | -$2.2 |
 Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)? | Yes | 16.67 | $0.060 | $0.3 | -$0.7 |
| Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? | No | 0.38 | $0.660 | $0.19 | -$0.06 |
| sell |
| 21.14 |
| $0.057 |
| $1.2 |
| 19h ago |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.003 | $0.08 | 5d ago |
 US imposes new sanctions on Iran by Monday?No | buy | 4.82 | $0.600 | $2.89 | 20d ago |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 7.89 | $0.380 | $3 | 20d ago |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.690 | $3 | 20d ago |
 Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?Yes | sell | 31.25 | $0.090 | $2.81 | 20d ago |
| Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?No | sell | 17.92 | $0.141 | $2.53 | 20d ago |
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 4.55 | $0.440 | $2 | 20d ago |
 Will a US-Iran deal in 2026 include Surrender of Iranian Enriched Uranium?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.070 | $1.75 | 21d ago |
 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?Yes | sell | 40.25 | $0.100 | $4.03 | 21d ago |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | sell | 5.12 | $0.017 | $0.09 | 27d ago |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Yes | sell | 4 | $0.001 | $0 | Jul 31, 2026 |
 Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 13.73 | $0.386 | $5.3 | Jul 10, 2026 |
 Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 6.25 | $0.160 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 4.4 | $0.227 | $1 | Jul 10, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes | sell | 20.57 | $0.003 | $0.05 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on July 9?Yes | sell | 2.59 | $0.002 | $0.01 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 20.57 | $0.140 | $2.88 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| France vs. Morocco: France O/U 0.5Over | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5Over | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | Jul 9, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $73 on July 9?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Jul 9, 2026 |
 Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | sell | 13.5 | $0.320 | $4.32 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?Yes | buy | 13.5 | $0.200 | $2.7 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $71 on July 8?Yes | buy | 2.6 | $0.770 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Will France win on 2026-07-09?Yes | buy | 3.17 | $0.630 | $2 | Jul 8, 2026 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5Over | buy | 2.9 | $0.690 | $2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?Yes | buy | 6.12 | $0.170 | $1.04 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?Yes | buy | 8.7 | $0.230 | $2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 7.41 | $0.270 | $2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5Over | buy | 5.1 | $0.490 | $2.5 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 7?Yes | buy | 2.63 | $0.760 | $2 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Jul–Sep–Oct)?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
 Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 7?Yes | buy | 4.35 | $0.230 | $1 | Jul 7, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.040 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 9.52 | $0.210 | $2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.720 | $3 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?Yes | buy | 3.92 | $0.510 | $2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 3.13 | $0.320 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on July 6?Up | buy | 2.17 | $0.460 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $68 on July 6?Yes | buy | 1.64 | $0.610 | $1 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?No | sell | 7.46 | $0.964 | $7.19 | Jul 5, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.200 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will there be between 40 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?Yes | buy | 4 | $0.500 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?Yes | buy | 5.13 | $0.390 | $2 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 6.1 | $0.997 | $6.08 | Jul 4, 2026 |
| Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 15.06 | $0.350 | $5.27 | Jul 4, 2026 |