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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | No | 11.82 | $0.728 | $9.87 | +$1.27 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 10 | $0.449 | $4.49 | 2d ago |
| No |
| 20 |
| $0.449 |
| $8.25 |
| -$0.73 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | No | 10 | $0.720 | $7.25 | +$0.05 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5 | $0.933 | $4.82 | +$0.15 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | 5 | $0.760 | $4.73 | +$0.93 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 5 | $0.820 | $4.18 | +$0.08 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 5 | $0.811 | $3.79 | -$0.27 |
 Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? | No | 7.14 | $0.700 | $2.82 | -$2.18 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1.28 | +$0.28 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1.14 | +$0.14 |
 Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? | No | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1.11 | +$0.11 |
 Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? | No | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1.09 | +$0.09 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? | No | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1.08 | +$0.08 |
 Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? | No | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1.07 | +$0.07 |
 Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1.06 | +$0.06 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 1.07 | $0.932 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will Alberta join the US? | No | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1.02 | +$0.02 |
 Will Trump and Putin not meet? | Yes | 1.54 | $0.650 | $0.48 | -$0.52 |
 Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | Yes | 5 | $0.380 | $0.33 | -$1.58 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?No| buy |
| 10 |
| $0.449 |
| $4.49 |
| 2d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 10 | $0.760 | $7.6 | 2d ago |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 10 | $0.720 | $7.2 | 2d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?No | buy | 7.14 | $0.700 | $5 | 27d ago |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?No | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | 27d ago |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | sell | 1.78 | $0.860 | $1.53 | Jul 6, 2026 |
 Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No | buy | 1.79 | $0.560 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jun 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.984 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?No | buy | 1.45 | $0.690 | $1 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes | sell | 9.97 | $0.360 | $3.59 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.014 | $0.07 | May 28, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes | buy | 9.97 | $0.510 | $5.08 | May 27, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 5 | $0.991 | $4.96 | May 27, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.860 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027?No | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.1 | $0.910 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.700 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | May 26, 2026 |
| Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.380 | $1.9 | May 25, 2026 |
 Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?No | buy | 5 | $0.720 | $3.6 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.700 | $3.5 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 5 | $0.933 | $4.67 | May 25, 2026 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 5 | $0.811 | $4.06 | May 25, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.970 | $4.85 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 5 | $0.820 | $4.1 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.973 | $4.87 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 28?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.870 | $4.35 | May 24, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.760 | $3.8 | May 24, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?No | buy | 5 | $0.910 | $4.55 | May 24, 2026 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | buy | 5 | $0.985 | $4.93 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.260 | $1.3 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in May?No | buy | 5 | $0.300 | $1.5 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 1.07 | $0.932 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
 US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.11 | $0.900 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No | buy | 1.18 | $0.850 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.920 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.978 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.994 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.961 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?No | buy | 1.33 | $0.750 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.16 | $0.863 | $1 | May 24, 2026 |