Latest trade
Oct 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 9:26 AM UTC.
Analytics
mathewbyaruhanga is down $79.03 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-10 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 10, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 23, 9:26 AM UTC.
$6.6 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 42 markets; 88.0% were buys. They run from Jul 22, 2026 UTC to Oct 10, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 373.49 | $0.992 | $370.31 | -$0.19 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 62 | $0.992 | $61.5 | 12d ago |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-10 23:32 UTC
Polymarket public position response
9 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 09:26 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-23 09:26 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-10 23:32 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $61.6 and losing ones cost $35.73 across the latest 50 settled positions. 70% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $15.72 on “Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $8.36 on “Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B” (9z).
Its most recent trade on record was on 10 Oct 2026. It has traded 108 markets. Its open positions are worth $389.08 across 9 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 15.22 |
| $0.460 |
| $10.12 |
| +$3.12 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1.37 | $0.950 | $1.32 | +$0.02 |
 Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 1.3 | $0.979 | $1.28 | +$0.01 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 1.05 | $0.987 | $1.02 | -$0.02 |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
| buy |
| 311.49 |
| $0.992 |
| $309 |
| 12d ago |
 Clippers vs. RaptorsClippers | buy | 82.05 | $0.390 | $32 | 12d ago |
 Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ignacio Buse vs Zizou BergsZizou Bergs | buy | 36.72 | $0.640 | $23.5 | 12d ago |
 UFC Fight Night: Ismael Bonfim vs. Francisco Prado (Welterweight, Prelims)Francisco Prado | buy | 31.03 | $0.580 | $18 | 12d ago |
 Rainbow Six Siege: FaZe Clan vs Team Liquid (BO3) - South America League Stage 2 PlayoffsTeam Liquid | buy | 70 | $0.400 | $28 | 12d ago |
 Valorant: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Champions PlayoffsG2 Esports | buy | 26.85 | $0.540 | $14.5 | 12d ago |
 Counter-Strike: Vitalem Aerem vs Alter Ego (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Cup #3 PlayoffsAlter Ego | buy | 24.7 | $0.660 | $16.3 | 12d ago |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in September?No | buy | 380.76 | $0.998 | $380 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in September?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.987 | $1 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No | buy | 1.31 | $0.992 | $1.3 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from September 18 to September 25, 2026?No | buy | 1.61 | $0.996 | $1.6 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 331: Marlon Vera vs. Charles Jourdain (Bantamweight, Prelims)Charles Jourdain | buy | 14.39 | $0.660 | $9.5 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
 Lions vs. BillsBills | buy | 10.29 | $0.680 | $7 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
 LoL: Natus Vincere vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC PlayoffsNatus Vincere | buy | 22.29 | $0.350 | $7.8 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?Yes | buy | 8.09 | $0.680 | $5.5 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in September?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.760 | $10 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?Yes | buy | 22.14 | $0.280 | $6.2 | Sep 17, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?No | buy | 425 | $0.999 | $424.58 | Aug 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.985 | $1 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
| Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B9z | buy | 22.5 | $0.360 | $8.1 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
| Augsburg: Benito Sanchez Martinez vs Hynek BartonHynek Barton | buy | 8.73 | $0.630 | $5.5 | Aug 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 433.19 | $0.987 | $427.56 | Aug 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 433.2 | $0.988 | $428 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?No | buy | 1.05 | $0.987 | $1.04 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
 Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by August 31?No | buy | 1.25 | $0.960 | $1.2 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,700 in August?No | buy | 1.09 | $0.918 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
 Las Vegas Aces vs. New York LibertyLas Vegas Aces | buy | 8.33 | $0.240 | $2 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 330: Eric McConico vs. Donte Johnson (Middleweight, Early Prelims)Donte Johnson | buy | 4.24 | $0.660 | $2.8 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)Ian Machado Garry | buy | 5.6 | $0.250 | $1.4 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Joel Schwaerzler vs Andrea GuerrieriAndrea Guerrieri | buy | 2.13 | $0.470 | $1 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
 Atlanta Braves vs. New York YankeesNew York Yankees | buy | 2.63 | $0.570 | $1.5 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Athletics vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox | buy | 3.36 | $0.700 | $2.35 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?No | sell | 445.44 | $0.998 | $444.55 | Aug 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in August?No | buy | 445.45 | $0.999 | $445 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Benjamin James win the 2026 Wyndham Championship?No | buy | 1.34 | $0.967 | $1.3 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseYes | buy | 15.22 | $0.460 | $7 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will no episode air?No | buy | 2.01 | $0.997 | $2 | Aug 6, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in July?No | buy | 387 | $0.999 | $386.61 | Jul 28, 2026 UTC |
 Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 28?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.960 | $1.1 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?No | buy | 1.37 | $0.950 | $1.3 | Jul 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 7.73 | $0.987 | $7.63 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 19.21 | $0.987 | $18.96 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 263.42 | $0.987 | $260 | Jul 26, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 96.64 | $0.987 | $95.38 | Jul 25, 2026 UTC |
 Will U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.996 | $1.4 | Jul 22, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.