Analytics
mathewbyaruhanga is down $79.03 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-10 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 373.49 | $0.992 | $370.31 | -$0.19 |
 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-10 23:32 UTC
Polymarket public position response
9 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-23 11:22 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-23 11:22 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-10 23:32 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $61.6 and losing ones cost $35.73 across the latest 50 settled positions. 70% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $15.72 on “Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 11 to September 18, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $8.36 on “Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B” (9z).
It has traded 108 markets. Its open positions are worth $389.23 across 9 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 15.22 |
| $0.460 |
| $10.27 |
| +$3.27 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 2.17 | $0.920 | $2.05 | +$0.05 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | 1.37 | $0.950 | $1.32 | +$0.02 |
 Will Manel Kape be the UFC Flyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? | No | 1.3 | $0.979 | $1.28 | +$0.01 |
 Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | No | 1.03 | $0.967 | $1.03 | +$0.03 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? | No | 1.05 | $0.987 | $1.02 | -$0.02 |
 Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? | No | 1.01 | $0.991 | $1.01 | +$0.01 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 1.12 | $0.890 | $0.94 | -$0.06 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
