
Resolved No on 21 Sep 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 100%. Yes opened at 0.3% on 16 Sep 2026. Before it settled, across the 6 daily closes on record from 16 Sep 2026 to 21 Sep 2026, the price held at 0.4%. $38.2K traded over the market's life.
57 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Sep 22, 9:28 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 6 points, 16 Sep 2026 – 21 Sep 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 16 Sep 2026 | 0.3% |
| 21 Sep 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 138.11K |
| mqpcd | Yes | 13K |
| smalltimezzz | Yes | 11.56K |
| rw-mehtape | Yes | 7.66K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from September 18 12:00 PM ET to September 25, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/elon-musk-of-tweets-september-18-september-25-2026
| Mei-ji | Yes | 6.04K |
| Keen Atlas 7F72 | Yes | 4.05K |
| RickRockRick | Yes | 3.6K |
| Bigggggggg | Yes | 3.57K |
| hirichzhou | Yes | 3.04K |
| Bitgod | Yes | 2.46K |
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