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Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Alberta join the US? | Yes | 0.71 | $0.045 | $0.01 | -$0.02 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 91 | $0.150 | $13.65 | Jun 24, 2026 |
|
| buy |
| 91 |
| $0.160 |
| $14.56 |
| Jun 24, 2026 |
 China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 53 | $0.860 | $45.58 | Jun 23, 2026 |
 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | sell | 27 | $0.190 | $5.13 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | sell | 18 | $0.190 | $3.42 | Jun 23, 2026 |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?Yes | buy | 102 | $0.200 | $20.4 | Jun 22, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 58 | $0.810 | $46.98 | Jun 16, 2026 |
 Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | sell | 42 | $0.984 | $41.33 | Jun 12, 2026 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by June 30?No | buy | 42 | $0.985 | $41.37 | Jun 12, 2026 |
 Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | sell | 29 | $0.989 | $28.68 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?No | buy | 38 | $0.989 | $37.58 | Jun 8, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.047 | $0.99 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.934 | $21.48 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | sell | 7 | $0.310 | $2.17 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?Yes | buy | 7 | $0.310 | $2.17 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No | sell | 58 | $0.720 | $41.76 | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | sell | 47 | $0.985 | $46.3 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026?No | buy | 47 | $0.985 | $46.3 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?No | buy | 18 | $0.951 | $17.12 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | sell | 166 | $0.193 | $32.04 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30?Yes | buy | 166 | $0.192 | $31.87 | Jun 5, 2026 |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?No | buy | 6 | $0.660 | $3.96 | Jun 4, 2026 |
| Will Alberta join the US?Yes | buy | 78 | $0.047 | $3.67 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?No | buy | 47 | $0.980 | $46.06 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes | buy | 27 | $0.210 | $5.67 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 3 | $0.969 | $2.91 | Dec 29, 2025 |
 Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 0.62 | $0.014 | $0.01 | Dec 17, 2025 |
 Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | sell | 24 | $0.988 | $23.71 | Oct 5, 2025 |
| Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?No | buy | 24 | $0.990 | $23.76 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Daniel Penny in 2025?No | buy | 24 | $0.973 | $23.35 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?Yes | buy | 24 | $0.987 | $23.69 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Iran Nuke in 2025?No | sell | 25 | $0.960 | $24 | Oct 4, 2025 |
 Will Bugonia win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?No | buy | 24 | $0.994 | $23.86 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No | sell | 20 | $0.988 | $19.76 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No | sell | 10 | $0.944 | $9.44 | Oct 2, 2025 |
 Will Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.930 | $4.65 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?Yes | sell | 37 | $0.123 | $4.55 | Oct 1, 2025 |
 Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | sell | 5 | $0.963 | $4.81 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 5 | $0.964 | $4.82 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration in 2025?No | buy | 5 | $0.965 | $4.83 | Sep 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.054 | $1.51 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?No | buy | 23 | $0.958 | $22.03 | Sep 30, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell in 2025?Yes | buy | 53 | $0.053 | $2.81 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will the Chicago Bulls win the 2026 NBA Finals?No | sell | 25 | $0.992 | $24.8 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | sell | 15.18 | $0.973 | $14.77 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 28 | $0.026 | $0.73 | Sep 29, 2025 |
| Will Shigeru Ishiba be the first leader out in 2025?Yes | buy | 23 | $0.974 | $22.4 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Skye Valadez confirmed perp?No | sell | 23 | $0.977 | $22.47 | Sep 29, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?No | sell | 23 | $0.975 | $22.43 | Sep 28, 2025 |
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by September 30?No | buy | 23 | $0.973 | $22.38 | Sep 28, 2025 |