Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 1.1% on 13 Sep 2025. Before it settled, across the 112 daily closes on record from 13 Sep 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 2.7% on 5 Nov 2025 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Jan 2026. $1.74M traded over the market's life.
72 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 112 points, 13 Sep 2025 – 1 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | 1.1% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew9797 | Yes | 4.72K |
| Indigo Tide 15A2 | Yes | 2.27K |
| Subdued-Leave | Yes | 2.18K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is confirmed that Skye Valadez is the individual responsible for the shooting of Charlie Kirk by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”. A “Yes” resolution requires one of the following: - Formal arrest or charging of Skye Valadez by a recognized law enforcement agency in direct connection with the shooting - Official statements by law enforcement naming him as the shooter or primary suspect - An overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming him as the shooter or primary suspect. Any of the above will independently qualify, conviction is not required to resolve this market. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/skye-valadez-confirmed-perp
| Yes |
| 2K |
| Excellent-Dignity | Yes | 1.2K |
| Circular-Afoul | Yes | 995.93 |
| Crackpotbullet | Yes | 769.23 |
| Weak-Brochure | Yes | 700 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 500 |
| FreeCityIndividual | Yes | 433.01 |
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