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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 50K | $0.500 | $46.43K | +$21.43K |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 9%-12%?Yes | buy | 223.99 | $0.140 | $31.36 | 6d ago |
| No |
| 20K |
| $0.837 |
| $17.7K |
| +$950.12 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | No | 13K | $0.828 | $12.5K | +$1.74K |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 10K | $0.780 | $8.55K | +$750.01 |
 Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 7.11K | $0.702 | $6.57K | +$1.59K |
 Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | No | 7.02K | $0.684 | $6.57K | +$1.76K |
 Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | No | 6.22K | $0.912 | $6K | +$324 |
 Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026? | No | 6.38K | $0.917 | $5.91K | +$50.19 |
 Trump out as President before 2027? | No | 5K | $0.850 | $4.72K | +$475 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 4.54K | $0.483 | $3.7K | +$1.51K |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Yes | 50K | $0.500 | $3.58K | -$21.42K |
 Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Yes | 3.73K | $0.921 | $3.54K | +$95.16 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 4.26K | $0.673 | $2.75K | -$118.27 |
 Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | No | 2.5K | $0.930 | $2.46K | +$133.75 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | 2.5K | $0.918 | $2.4K | +$106.25 |
 Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | No | 4K | $0.500 | $2.06K | +$60 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30? | No | 2K | $0.969 | $1.98K | +$43 |
 Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | No | 2.5K | $0.770 | $1.9K | -$26.25 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.77K | $0.800 | $1.69K | +$273.86 |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 2K | $0.750 | $1.47K | -$30 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | No | 2K | $0.614 | $1.37K | +$142 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 1.64K | $0.788 | $1.33K | +$38.01 |
 Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2.39K | $0.500 | $1.21K | +$11.94 |
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | No | 1.14K | $0.890 | $1.12K | +$105.45 |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 7.36K | $0.281 | $1.06K | -$1.01K |
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wisconsin gubernatorial election by 3%-6%?No| buy |
| 64 |
| $0.915 |
| $58.56 |
| 6d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 173 | $0.890 | $153.97 | 15d ago |
| Will Darline Graham Nordone be the new republican nominee for Senate in South Carolina?No | buy | 42.63 | $0.349 | $14.88 | 15d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 300.32 | $0.810 | $243.26 | 15d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 4.62K | $0.920 | $4.25K | 15d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.900 | $22.5 | 21d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 45 | $0.900 | $40.5 | 21d ago |
 Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 35.54 | $0.880 | $31.28 | 21d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 25 | $0.900 | $22.5 | 21d ago |
| Will the Democrats win the Florida Senate race in 2026?No | buy | 12.8 | $0.900 | $11.52 | 21d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.900 | $9 | 21d ago |
| Will the Republicans win the Florida Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 28.4 | $0.900 | $25.56 | 21d ago |
 Will Jared Moskowitz win the FL-25 Democratic primary by at least 25%?Yes | buy | 60 | $0.840 | $50.4 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 50 | $0.998 | $49.9 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | 21d ago |
| Will Jared Moskowitz be the FL-25 Democratic nominee?Yes | buy | 102.49 | $0.980 | $100.44 | 21d ago |
 Will Byron Donalds win at least 50% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 50 | $0.220 | $11 | 21d ago |
| Will Byron Donalds win at least 40% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 18.33 | $0.970 | $17.78 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 70.2 | $0.780 | $54.76 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 1.13K | $0.997 | $1.13K | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback at least 30% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 50 | $0.996 | $49.8 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback win 15–20% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?No | buy | 32.64 | $0.950 | $31.01 | 21d ago |
| Will James Fishback win less than 10% of votes in the Florida Republican Governor primary?Yes | buy | 9.34 | $0.729 | $6.81 | 21d ago |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 2.5K | $0.770 | $1.93K | 22d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No | buy | 1K | $0.870 | $870 | 22d ago |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No | buy | 2K | $0.830 | $1.66K | 22d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?Yes | buy | 211.72 | $0.490 | $103.74 | 22d ago |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No | buy | 644.56 | $0.789 | $508.56 | 22d ago |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 487.07 | $0.150 | $73.06 | 22d ago |
 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Yes | sell | 694 | $0.490 | $340.06 | 22d ago |
 Will the Democratic Party win the TX-15 House seat?Yes | buy | 76.09 | $0.497 | $37.8 | 22d ago |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes | sell | 1.87K | $0.100 | $187.44 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 1.77K | $0.067 | $118.63 | Jul 2, 2026 |
 Will Steve Bannon announce a presidential run before 2027?No | sell | 23.81 | $0.870 | $20.71 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Jared Polis announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 100 | $0.930 | $93 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Kamala Harris announce a Presidential run before 2027?No | buy | 333.86 | $0.820 | $273.77 | Jul 1, 2026 |
 Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 70.01 | $0.539 | $37.74 | Jul 1, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.77K | $0.800 | $1.41K | Jun 7, 2026 |
 Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 127.03 | $0.320 | $40.65 | Jun 7, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 67.37 | $0.367 | $24.75 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 66.32 | $0.350 | $23.21 | Jun 5, 2026 |
| Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?No | buy | 377.77 | $0.598 | $225.77 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 582.03 | $0.769 | $447.77 | Jun 3, 2026 |
 First round outright winner in the LA Mayoral Election?Yes | buy | 112.1 | $0.038 | $4.31 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.750 | $30 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?Yes | buy | 302.88 | $0.728 | $220.4 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?No | buy | 320 | $0.934 | $298.88 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.780 | $78 | Jun 3, 2026 |
| Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?No | buy | 275.02 | $0.437 | $120.26 | May 29, 2026 |