Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 752.38 | $0.500 | $695.95 | +$319.69 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?Yes | sell | 16 | $0.530 | $8.48 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 130.64 |
| $0.328 |
| $64.01 |
| +$21.19 |
| Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 130.64 | $0.447 | $60.75 | +$2.29 |
 Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 80 | $0.513 | $50.4 | +$9.39 |
 Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 88.29 | $0.037 | $37.7 | +$34.45 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 88.29 | $0.019 | $22.25 | +$20.59 |
 Will Trump sell 1-100 Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.152 | $21.36 | +$16.81 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 752.38 | $0.069 | $20.69 | -$31.57 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.75% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 88.29 | $0.079 | $20.17 | +$13.24 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $750B and $1T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 752.38 | $0.147 | $17.3 | -$93.72 |
| Will there be exactly 3 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 130.64 | $0.041 | $8.88 | +$3.58 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 88.29 | $0.006 | $7.02 | +$6.49 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be less than $20B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 80 | $0.041 | $6.36 | +$3.11 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 752.38 | $0.050 | $6.02 | -$31.88 |
| Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 3.5% at the end of 2026? | Yes | 88.29 | $0.201 | $5.92 | -$11.79 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $1T and $1.25T at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 752.38 | $0.073 | $5.64 | -$49.59 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $50B and $75B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 80 | $0.059 | $5.44 | +$0.75 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $75B and $100B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 80 | $0.125 | $4.4 | -$5.61 |
| Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026? | Yes | 130.64 | $0.091 | $4.38 | -$7.58 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $20B and $30B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 80 | $0.033 | $3.64 | +$0.99 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be greater than $100B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 80 | $0.064 | $3.56 | -$1.56 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $30B and $40B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 80 | $0.061 | $3.56 | -$1.33 |
 Will Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2026? | Yes | 30 | $0.048 | $2.3 | +$0.86 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 752.38 | $0.064 | $2.26 | -$45.57 |
| Will Perplexity’s market cap be between $40B and $50B at market close on IPO day? | Yes | 80 | $0.011 | $2.12 | +$1.27 |
| sell |
| 45 |
| $0.736 |
| $33.11 |
| Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be $1.5T or greater at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.064 | $1.92 | Feb 22, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI’s market cap be between $500B and $750B at market close on IPO day?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.048 | $1.44 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.942 | $4.71 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will there be between 6 and 9 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Yes | buy | 492 | $0.014 | $6.89 | Feb 18, 2026 |
| Will there be between 18 and 21 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?Yes | sell | 16.24 | $0.056 | $0.91 | Feb 18, 2026 |