Analytics
Yes is at 68%, up 21 points from 47.5% when the market opened on 6 Jan 2026.
Across the 256 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 28 Oct 2026 (40 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 78.5% on 8 Jan 2026 and the lowest 24% on 1 May 2026. A week before that last close Yes was at 69.5%; a month before, 63%. Its largest one-day move was 30 points up, to 54% on 2 May 2026.
No IPO before 2028 is the favourite of the 8 outcomes in “Perplexity IPO Closing Market Cap”, ahead of 50B–75B at 9.6%.
$109.61K traded in the last 24 hours. The order book holds $180.91, with a 12.0% gap between the best bid and the best ask. Across the latest 500 trades, $1.49K bought Yes and $5.33K bought No.
The largest Yes position is WageringGrandma with 371 shares; the largest No position is Indigo Signal 2966 with 1.5K. Ten wallets hold 75.6% of the shares on Polymarket's public holder list.
Trading closes on 1 Jan 2028.
Polymarket prices as of Oct 28, 1:22 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 256 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 28 Oct 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 47.5% |
| 28 Oct 2026 | 68.0% |
The ten largest positions on Polymarket's public holder list.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 1.52K |
| WageringGrandma | Yes | 370.86 |
| Vassago | Yes | 347.52 |
This market will resolve based on Perplexity's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading. If no Perplexity IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028". Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day. If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used. In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Perplexity’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/perplexity-ipo-closing-market-cap
| frcst | Yes | 307 |
| Pastel-Achievement | Yes | 200 |
| LatoyaMendoza5181 | No | 136 |
| Bitgod | Yes | 117.79 |
| bigfunky | Yes | 86.29 |
| wtfsss | Yes | 80 |
| awgraewrfa | Yes | 74.62 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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