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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Eileen Gu citizenship revoked ? | No | 500 | $0.940 | $488.75 | +$18.75 |
 Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | 6d ago |
|
| No |
| 200 |
| $0.830 |
| $192.3 |
| +$26.3 |
 Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | Yes | 200 | $0.650 | $184 | +$54 |
 Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027? | No | 104.38 | $0.860 | $103.28 | +$13.52 |
 Will Perplexity not IPO by December 31, 2027? | Yes | 86.29 | $0.572 | $52.64 | +$3.28 |
 Mistral AI IPO before 2027? | No | 52.27 | $0.890 | $48.35 | +$1.83 |
 Will Anthropic flip BTC by December 31? | No | 200 | $0.800 | $35 | -$125 |
 Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31? | No | 36.64 | $0.877 | $34.99 | +$2.87 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | No | 27.48 | $0.555 | $25.42 | +$10.16 |
 Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? | No | 12.75 | $0.800 | $11.67 | +$1.47 |
 Ramp IPO before 2027? | No | 5.82 | $0.930 | $5.27 | -$0.15 |
 Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? | Yes | 11.3 | $0.230 | $3.56 | +$0.96 |
 OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? | Yes | 37.44 | $0.359 | $3.56 | -$9.89 |
 OpenAI IPO before 2027? | No | 0.68 | $0.550 | $0.62 | +$0.25 |
 Will Daylight launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.870 | $0.28 | -$17.12 |
| buy |
| 46.62 |
| $0.880 |
| $41.03 |
| 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by November 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 47 | $0.890 | $41.83 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.850 | $85 | 6d ago |
| Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.840 | $168 | 6d ago |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | sell | 12.14 | $0.893 | $10.84 | May 9, 2026 |
 Canadiens vs. LightningCanadiens | sell | 1K | $0.410 | $410 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.999 | $49.95 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will eBay (EBAY) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 135.55 | $0.997 | $135.17 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 31.92 | $0.999 | $31.89 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft (MSFT) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.998 | $49.9 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Meta Platforms (META) beat quarterly earnings?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.998 | $99.8 | Apr 29, 2026 |
 Will Waymo launch in Miami by June 30 2026?Yes | buy | 18 | $0.819 | $14.74 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 Anthropic IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 63.66 | $0.400 | $25.46 | Mar 11, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Israel" 3+ times during Monday press conference?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.830 | $49.8 | Mar 9, 2026 |
 Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | sell | 135.49 | $0.220 | $29.81 | Mar 9, 2026 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.970 | $97 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5?Yes | buy | 64.95 | $0.960 | $62.35 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| GPT-5.4 released by March 5?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.850 | $17 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | buy | 80 | $0.400 | $32 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes | buy | 75 | $0.390 | $29.25 | Mar 5, 2026 |
| Ramp IPO before 2027?No | buy | 60 | $0.930 | $55.8 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?Yes | buy | 26 | $0.998 | $25.95 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?No | buy | 20 | $0.880 | $17.6 | Mar 2, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?No | buy | 36.93 | $0.992 | $36.63 | Mar 2, 2026 |
 Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.810 | $20.25 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Meta "Mango" model released by March 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.810 | $81 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 50 | $0.779 | $38.95 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Israel | buy | 100 | $0.779 | $77.9 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.985 | $98.49 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.985 | $98.48 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.645 | $64.5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 88.98 | $0.988 | $87.91 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire broken by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.980 | $97.99 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will Ukraine record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 5 | $0.999 | $5 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will an Individual Neutral Athlete record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 19.84 | $0.996 | $19.76 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Colombia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Ecuador record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Ireland record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 10 | $0.999 | $9.99 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Liechtenstein record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 0.99 | $0.999 | $0.99 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Armenia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 0.98 | $0.999 | $0.98 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Bolivia record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 0.95 | $0.999 | $0.95 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Guinea-Bissau record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 1.97 | $0.999 | $1.97 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Iran record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 0.96 | $0.999 | $0.96 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Azerbaijan record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 1.87 | $0.999 | $1.87 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Chile record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 0.99 | $0.999 | $0.99 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Haiti record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 1.43 | $0.999 | $1.43 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Lebanon record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 0.95 | $0.999 | $0.95 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Lithuania record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 0.69 | $0.999 | $0.69 | Feb 21, 2026 |
| Will Malta record a medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 1.93 | $0.999 | $1.93 | Feb 21, 2026 |