Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Dr ‘Aisake Valu Eke be the next Prime Minister of Tonga after the election?No | sell | 23.18 | $0.260 | $6.03 | Aug 11, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 49.99 |
| $0.186 |
| $9.29 |
| Aug 9, 2025 |
 Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 10 achieve a successful splashdown?No | sell | 1.53 | $0.360 | $0.55 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 US-China tariff agreement before 90 day deadline?No | sell | 100 | $0.120 | $12.01 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Trump Media buy more Bitcoin in 2025?Yes | sell | 43.62 | $0.780 | $34.02 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Trump meet with Pope Leo XIV in 2025?No | sell | 99.99 | $0.670 | $66.99 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Will Monad perform an airdrop by December 31?No | sell | 5.61 | $0.346 | $1.94 | Aug 8, 2025 |
| Will Monad perform an airdrop by September 30?Yes | sell | 99.99 | $0.090 | $9 | Aug 8, 2025 |
 Earthquake 7.0 or above by September 30?Yes | sell | 21.97 | $0.900 | $19.77 | Aug 2, 2025 |
| Earthquake 7.0 or above by September 30?Yes | buy | 21.98 | $0.910 | $20 | Aug 1, 2025 |
 Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | sell | 24.24 | $0.963 | $23.35 | Feb 24, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win less than 26% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 465.59 | $0.011 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Will the CDU/CSU win between 30% and 32% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 543.8 | $0.009 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 FDP wins 5% or more of vote in German election?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Feb 23, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?No | sell | 321.19 | $0.998 | $320.55 | Feb 23, 2025 |
 Gold missing from Fort Knox?Yes | buy | 127.55 | $0.220 | $28.06 | Feb 21, 2025 |
 Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?Yes | buy | 28.05 | $0.560 | $15.71 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?No | sell | 35.71 | $0.440 | $15.71 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Will the AfD win 20-25% of the vote in the German election?Yes | buy | 24.24 | $0.660 | $16 | Feb 14, 2025 |
| Bitcoin above $97,000 on February 14?No | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will SPD win the most seats in the next German election?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.002 | $1 | Feb 12, 2025 |
| Will AfD win the most seats in the next German election?No | buy | 321.2 | $0.934 | $300 | Feb 12, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?No | buy | 337 | $0.990 | $333.63 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Elon Musk" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.120 | $30 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 85.71 | $0.350 | $30 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "TikTok" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 154.18 | $0.195 | $30 | Jan 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Kamala" during his inauguration speech?Yes | buy | 434.78 | $0.230 | $100 | Jan 20, 2025 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Yes | buy | 69.61 | $0.718 | $50 | Nov 25, 2024 |
 Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.878 | $87.8 | Nov 16, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in November?Yes | buy | 235.29 | $0.340 | $80 | Nov 13, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?Yes | sell | 44.44 | $0.789 | $35.06 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?Yes | sell | 110 | $0.480 | $52.8 | Nov 12, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $87,500 in November?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Nov 11, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in November?Yes | buy | 44.44 | $0.450 | $20 | Nov 11, 2024 |
 Will Trump say "America" five or more times in his speech after the election is called?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.380 | $19 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "Elon" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 22.22 | $0.450 | $10 | Nov 10, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "America" five or more times in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 21 | $0.690 | $14.49 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Will Trump say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" in his speech after the election is called?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.094 | $9.4 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Israel strike on Iranian nuclear facility in 2024?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.240 | $24 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| German Bundestag dissolved in 2024?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.250 | $10 | Nov 8, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in November?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.880 | $44 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 66.67 | $0.015 | $1 | Nov 7, 2024 |
 Bitcoin above $70,000 on November 8?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.910 | $91 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.583 | $58.3 | Nov 5, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.441 | $8.82 | Nov 4, 2024 |