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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by September 30? | No | 60 | $0.852 | $58.62 | +$7.49 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 123 | $0.004 | $0.43 | 11h ago |
| Yes |
| 63 |
| $0.698 |
| $43.16 |
| -$0.84 |
 Trump meets with Putin by September 30? | No | 35 | $0.891 | $34.35 | +$3.16 |
 Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026? | No | 37 | $0.789 | $29.42 | +$0.21 |
 Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026? | Yes | 120 | $0.309 | $28.8 | -$8.34 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | No | 30 | $0.853 | $28.05 | +$2.46 |
| Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 59.99 | $0.593 | $27.9 | -$7.7 |
 Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 33 | $0.506 | $20.79 | +$4.08 |
 Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting? | No | 30 | $0.550 | $17.25 | +$0.75 |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 50.88 | $0.331 | $12.97 | -$3.87 |
 Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 35 | $0.347 | $11.73 | -$0.42 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 35 | $0.064 | $11.38 | +$9.13 |
| Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 40 | $0.028 | $10.56 | +$9.44 |
 Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | $0 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.805 | $8.85 | +$0.8 |
 Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.850 | $8.55 | +$0.05 |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.481 | $7.05 | +$2.24 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting? | Yes | 30 | $0.288 | $7.05 | -$1.6 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 10 | $0.555 | $6.25 | +$0.7 |
 Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by September 30, 2026? | No | 5 | $0.830 | $4.78 | +$0.63 |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20.01 | $0.063 | $4.2 | +$2.93 |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting? | Yes | 5 | $0.620 | $3.5 | +$0.4 |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 20 | $0.243 | $3.2 | -$1.67 |
 Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 5 | $0.560 | $2.7 | -$0.1 |
 Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31? | Yes | 10 | $0.360 | $2.65 | -$0.95 |
Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes| sell |
| 12.65 |
| $0.200 |
| $2.53 |
| 11h ago |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.150 | $1.5 | 12h ago |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?No | sell | 55 | $0.940 | $51.7 | 1d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 36.75 | $0.160 | $5.88 | 1d ago |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 12 | $0.010 | $0.12 | 1d ago |
| Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 80 | $0.026 | $2.08 | 1d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 37.95 | $0.190 | $7.21 | 1d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 37.5 | $0.640 | $24 | 1d ago |
 Will ByteDance be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 74 | $0.004 | $0.27 | 1d ago |
| Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 12.11 | $0.100 | $1.21 | 1d ago |
| Will ByteDance be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 152.52 | $0.004 | $0.61 | 1d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 17 | $0.160 | $2.72 | 1d ago |
 Will DeepSeek have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 49.99 | $0.003 | $0.15 | 1d ago |
 Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?No | sell | 10 | $0.110 | $1.1 | 1d ago |
| Will Rodina win at least one seat in the next Russian State Duma election?No | buy | 10 | $0.166 | $1.66 | 1d ago |
 Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | sell | 5.25 | $0.310 | $1.63 | 1d ago |
 Will Xiaomi be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 119.98 | $0.004 | $0.48 | 1d ago |
| Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 99.95 | $0.003 | $0.25 | 1d ago |
| Will ByteDance be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 27.48 | $0.007 | $0.19 | 1d ago |
| Will Z.ai be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 5 | $0.160 | $0.8 | 1d ago |
| Will USD be between 3.0M and 3.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.180 | $3.6 | 2d ago |
| Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | 2d ago |
| Will USD be between 2.5M and 3.0M Iranian rials on December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.310 | $3.1 | 2d ago |
| Will USD be between 2.0M and 2.5M Iranian rials on December 31?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.360 | $3.6 | 2d ago |
| Will Anthropic IPO by December 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.850 | $8.5 | 2d ago |
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 30 | $0.003 | $0.09 | 2d ago |
| Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?No | buy | 10 | $0.910 | $9.1 | 2d ago |
 Will Meituan be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 61.03 | $0.001 | $0.06 | 2d ago |
| Will DeepSeek be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 170 | $0.003 | $0.54 | 2d ago |
| Will DeepSeek be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 29.99 | $0.005 | $0.16 | 2d ago |
| Will ByteDance be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 20.86 | $0.008 | $0.18 | 2d ago |
| Will Baidu be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.028 | $0.28 | 2d ago |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the January 2027 meeting?Yes | buy | 10 | $0.250 | $2.5 | 3d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.860 | $4.3 | 3d ago |
| Russia-Ukraine peace talks by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.810 | $4.05 | 3d ago |
 Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase September 1-7?No | buy | 10 | $0.920 | $9.2 | 5d ago |
| Will Baidu have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 60 | $0.013 | $0.78 | 5d ago |
| Will Xiaomi have the best Chinese AI model at the end of September 2026?Yes | sell | 99.98 | $0.003 | $0.3 | 6d ago |
| Will Moonshot be the second-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.400 | $6 | 6d ago |
| Will Baidu be the third-best Chinese AI company at the end of October 2026?Yes | sell | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | 6d ago |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 5 | $0.830 | $4.15 | 6d ago |
| Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.430 | $18.92 | 7d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.620 | $3.1 | 7d ago |
 Will Microsoft be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | sell | 30.6 | $0.110 | $3.37 | 7d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | 7d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | 7d ago |
 Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?Yes | sell | 15 | $0.070 | $1.05 | 7d ago |
| Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the October Meeting?No | buy | 10 | $0.550 | $5.5 | 7d ago |
| Will USD/JPY hit 165 (High) in 2026?Yes | sell | 11 | $0.410 | $4.51 | 8d ago |