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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? | No | 16.65K | $0.699 | $11.99K | +$343.54 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.150 | $750 | 16h ago |
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| Yes |
| 10K |
| $0.858 |
| $8.55K |
| -$28.84 |
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | Yes | 10K | $0.662 | $7.35K | +$730.03 |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? | Yes | 10K | $0.335 | $5.35K | +$2K |
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 7K | $0.559 | $5.28K | +$1.37K |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | Yes | 254.72K | $0.080 | $4.71K | -$15.72K |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | Yes | 12.66K | $0.525 | $4.24K | -$2.41K |
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | No | 3K | $0.958 | $2.93K | +$53.27 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 5K | $0.796 | $2.87K | -$1.11K |
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | Yes | 5.53K | $0.424 | $2.79K | +$450.2 |
Iran coup attempt by December 31? | Yes | 20K | $0.131 | $2.7K | +$79.86 |
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? | No | 3K | $0.830 | $2.56K | +$75.01 |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026? | Yes | 84.19K | $0.057 | $2.4K | -$2.38K |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 10.04K | $0.256 | $2.36K | -$214.75 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $5.0T by December 31? | No | 2.5K | $0.939 | $2.36K | +$7.5 |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4? | No | 4.43K | $0.660 | $2.08K | -$841.64 |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31? | No | 2K | $0.900 | $1.78K | -$21 |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | Yes | 8.52K | $0.235 | $1.75K | -$256.15 |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 16.77K | $0.165 | $1.59K | -$1.18K |
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by December 31? | No | 2K | $0.767 | $1.45K | -$85 |
Iran charges Hormuz fees by December 31? | Yes | 3.7K | $0.584 | $1.04K | -$1.12K |
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | Yes | 2K | $0.520 | $1.01K | -$30 |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? | Yes | 1.34K | $0.486 | $879.69 | +$226.68 |
US strike on Colombia by December 31? | No | 1K | $0.770 | $855 | +$85 |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31? | Yes | 3K | $0.463 | $750 | -$639.99 |
| sell |
| 62.5K |
| $0.003 |
| $187.5 |
| 17h ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 17.39K | $0.024 | $417.34 | 2d ago |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?Yes | buy | 9.81K | $0.030 | $290.76 | 4d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | sell | 725.97 | $0.590 | $428.32 | 4d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 12.93K | $0.010 | $129.32 | 4d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?No | buy | 384.31 | $0.570 | $219.06 | 5d ago |
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?No | buy | 5.16K | $0.660 | $3.4K | 5d ago |
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No | buy | 4.52K | $0.680 | $3.08K | 5d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 35K | $0.050 | $1.75K | 5d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 30.26K | $0.050 | $1.51K | 6d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 28.08K | $0.018 | $509.36 | 6d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 27.67K | $0.029 | $804.58 | 7d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 5.53K | $0.023 | $127.28 | 7d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.84K | $0.036 | $207.53 | 9d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.97K | $0.090 | $447.08 | 12d ago |
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No | sell | 62.73 | $0.087 | $5.43 | 12d ago |
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | sell | 499.96 | $0.059 | $29.7 | 12d ago |
Foreign intervention in Gaza by December 31?Yes | buy | 999.99 | $0.280 | $280 | 13d ago |
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?Yes | buy | 499.96 | $0.598 | $298.88 | 13d ago |
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No | sell | 16.68 | $0.412 | $6.87 | 13d ago |
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No | sell | 204.76 | $0.488 | $99.82 | 13d ago |
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No | buy | 62.31 | $0.566 | $35.24 | 13d ago |
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No | buy | 724.99 | $0.608 | $440.69 | 13d ago |
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No | sell | 387.74 | $0.390 | $151.05 | 13d ago |
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No | sell | 212.39 | $0.521 | $110.72 | 13d ago |
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No | sell | 1.25K | $0.635 | $792.07 | 13d ago |
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No | buy | 856.55 | $0.970 | $830.67 | 13d ago |
Will Republican Senate incumbents not win in exactly two nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?No | buy | 1.21K | $0.965 | $1.17K | 13d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.85K | $0.037 | $218.34 | 13d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.42K | $0.088 | $1.35K | 13d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | buy | 30.13 | $0.029 | $0.87 | 13d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | buy | 26.32K | $0.040 | $1.05K | 13d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | buy | 5.36K | $0.029 | $155.43 | 13d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.7K | $0.079 | $134.13 | 13d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 8.99K | $0.176 | $1.58K | 13d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | buy | 17.95K | $0.029 | $519.91 | 13d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | buy | 11.43K | $0.022 | $251.4 | 14d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | buy | 64.77K | $0.019 | $1.26K | 14d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?Yes | buy | 5K | $0.070 | $350 | 14d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 14, 2026?Yes | sell | 3.07K | $0.200 | $613.5 | 14d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | sell | 751.65 | $0.282 | $212.19 | 14d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 10.55K | $0.401 | $4.23K | 14d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?Yes | buy | 5.16K | $0.120 | $619.51 | 14d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 15.23K | $0.039 | $588.18 | 14d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 21, 2026?Yes | buy | 4.77K | $0.237 | $1.13K | 14d ago |
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.01K | $0.110 | $660.97 | 14d ago |
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 31?Yes | buy | 10.06K | $0.028 | $283.43 | 14d ago |
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 15?Yes | buy | 3.54K | $0.020 | $69.93 | 14d ago |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 6.21K | $0.039 | $244.54 | 14d ago |