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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.009 | $1 | Jan 21, 2025 |
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| buy |
| 2.19 |
| $0.994 |
| $2.18 |
| Jan 16, 2025 |
Will the Edmonton Oilers win the 2025 Stanley Cup?Yes | buy | 4.17 | $0.120 | $0.5 | Dec 18, 2024 |
Bitcoin above $62,000 on October 11?Yes | buy | 1.59 | $0.088 | $0.14 | Oct 11, 2024 |
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez, D Senate, R HouseYes | buy | 150 | $0.007 | $1.05 | Oct 10, 2024 |
Ethereum above $2,400 on October 11?No | buy | 230 | $0.270 | $62.1 | Oct 7, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Border" 30 or more times during Wisconsin rally?No | buy | 0.52 | $0.600 | $0.31 | Oct 5, 2024 |
Will Trump say "China" 10 or more times during North Carolina town hall?Yes | buy | 2.42 | $0.620 | $1.5 | Oct 4, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Border" 25 or more times during Michigan rally?Yes | buy | 248.63 | $0.680 | $169.07 | Oct 2, 2024 |
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 9.5K | $0.004 | $37.98 | Oct 2, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Border" 30 or more times in Wisconsin speech October 1?Yes | buy | 211 | $0.480 | $101.28 | Oct 1, 2024 |
Will Trump say "Border" 30 or more times in Wisconsin speech October 1?Yes | buy | 9.32 | $0.470 | $4.38 | Oct 1, 2024 |
Will JD Vance say "Kamala Harris" 30 or more times during the debate?Yes | buy | 239.64 | $0.580 | $139 | Oct 1, 2024 |
Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?No | sell | 143 | $0.994 | $142.14 | Oct 1, 2024 |
Will Kamala say "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during her Nevada speech?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.035 | $3.5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will Kamala say "border" 3+ times during her Nevada speech?No | buy | 449 | $0.600 | $269.4 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 12.5K | $0.005 | $62.5 | Sep 29, 2024 |
Will $BTC reach 70k before October?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.060 | $6 | Sep 28, 2024 |
Will Trump say "border" 30+ times during his Wisconsin speech?No | buy | 34 | $0.500 | $17 | Sep 28, 2024 |
Will Trump say "border" 30+ times during his Wisconsin speech?No | buy | 565 | $0.490 | $276.85 | Sep 28, 2024 |
Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?No | sell | 10 | $0.772 | $7.72 | Sep 28, 2024 |
Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?No | buy | 13.97 | $0.800 | $11.18 | Sep 26, 2024 |
Will Russia capture Toretsk before October?No | buy | 125 | $0.800 | $100 | Sep 26, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump say "border" 25 or more times during his North Carolina speech?No | buy | 205 | $0.220 | $45.1 | Sep 25, 2024 |
Will Trump drop out of presidential race?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.044 | $0.22 | Sep 25, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 989.44 | $0.483 | $477.9 | Sep 25, 2024 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 989.44 | $0.484 | $478.89 | Sep 25, 2024 |
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.744 | $223.2 | Sep 25, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 508.33 | $0.503 | $255.69 | Sep 25, 2024 |
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 508.33 | $0.504 | $256.2 | Sep 25, 2024 |