Analytics
Resolved No on 30 Sep 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 96.4%. Yes opened at 3.5% on 27 Sep 2024. Before it settled, the high was 5.7% on 28 Sep 2024 and the low 3.5% on 27 Sep 2024. $76.12K traded over the market's life.
7 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 1, 4:20 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 27 Sep 2024 – 30 Sep 2024 · axis zoomed to 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2024 | 3.5% |
| 30 Sep 2024 | 3.6% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Well-Informed-Problem | Yes | 1.28K |
| Silicones | Yes | 1.16K |
| awr348 | Yes | 97.17 |
| kaii | Yes | 29.41 |
| scrimple | No | 0.06 |
| Kalags | Yes | 0.01 |
| efren1983 | Yes | 0.01 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
Kamala Harris has scheduled to give a speech on September 29 in Las Vegas, Nevada (see: https://www.mobilize.us/2024nvvictory/event/706397/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Harris says "crypto" or "Bitcoin" during their appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "crypto" or "Bitcoin" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to decentralized cryptocurrency (e.g. "cryptocurrency-related" counts). If this candidate does not appear at this event, or if the event is otherwise cancelled or delayed beyond September 29, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the speech.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-kamala-say-during-nevada-speech
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