Will $BTC reach 70k before October?

cryptoResolved

No, settled Oct 1, 2024 UTC

Yes

0.0%

100.0%

Final Yes 0¢Final No 100¢

Lifetime volume

$1.3M

Resolved

Settled

Oct 1, 2024 UTC

Topic roomBitcoin Price

Where it stands

Resolved No on 1 Oct 2024.

The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 25% on 31 Aug 2024. Before it settled, across the 32 daily closes on record from 31 Aug 2024 to 1 Oct 2024, the highest close was 25% on 31 Aug 2024 and the lowest 0.1% on 1 Oct 2024. Its largest one-day move was 9.8 points up, to 13.3% on 27 Sep 2024. $1.3M traded over the market's life.

111 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.

Polymarket record as of Oct 2, 5:32 AM UTC

Price historyPrice history from Polymarket's order book

Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 32 points, 31 Aug 2024 – 1 Oct 2024, chart shows 0%–30%

Holders left after settlement

Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.

Trader	Outcome	Shares
metacharsiu	Yes	52.48K
COUNCILORME	Yes	11.5K
Rot	Yes	9.57K
BergYuntCapital	Yes	6.28K

10 of 111 listed holders. Polymarket publishes up to 500 per outcome; the Holders tab has them all.

Read the record behind the trader

Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.

Rules

How this market was settled

This market will immediately resolve to "Yes" if any Binance 1 minute candle for Bitcoin (BTCUSDT) between August 30, 2024, 12:00 and September 30, 2024, 23:59 in the ET timezone has a final "High" price of $70,000.00 or higher. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTCUSDT "High" prices available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT, with the chart settings on "1m" for one-minute candles selected on the top bar. Please note that the outcome of this market depends solely on the price data from the Binance BTCUSDT trading pair. Prices from other exchanges, different trading pairs, or spot markets will not be considered for the resolution of this market.