Analytics
Resolved Yes on 2 Oct 2024.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 61%. Yes opened at 56.5% on 1 Oct 2024. Before it settled, across the 2 daily closes on record from 1 Oct 2024 to 2 Oct 2024, the highest close was 61% on 2 Oct 2024 and the lowest 56.5% on 1 Oct 2024. $135.09K traded over the market's life.
15 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Oct 3, 6:46 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 2 points, 1 Oct 2024 – 2 Oct 2024, chart shows 52%–64%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Oct 2024 | 56.5% |
| 2 Oct 2024 | 61.0% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| g... | No | 2.66K |
| CHEEZKING | No | 401.85 |
| Lawrenceo123 | No | 370 |
| Strident-Bookend | No | 301.78 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Tim Walz and J.D. Vance are currently scheduled to debate on October 1, in an event hosted by CBS. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Vance says "Kamala", "Harris" or "Kamala Harris" 30 or more times at any point during the first vice presidential debate between Tim Walz and J.D. Vance in the 2024 election cycle. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Usage of the full name "Kamala Harris" will only count as a single mention. Any usage of the word regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market. Pluralization/possessive of the word will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count. Compound words will count as long as "Kamala" and/or "Harris" is part of the compound word and references the meaning which refers to the Democratic presidential candidate Kamala Harris. If no such debate in the 2024 election cycle happens by November 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, or if either candidate drops out of the race, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be the video of the debate.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/what-will-jd-vance-say-during-the-vp-debate
| bliss3 | No | 135.35 |
| ottmusumeci | No | 131.81 |
| Nou | No | 26.32 |
| new-b | No | 13.16 |
| BigJaden | No | 12.92 |
| digital-waters | No | 12.82 |
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