Latest trade
Aug 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 7:11 PM UTC.
Analytics
makaraso is down $4.53 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 34 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-08-18 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Aug 8, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 21, 7:11 PM UTC.
$3.01 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 31 markets; 76.0% were buys. They run from Mar 7, 2025 UTC to Aug 8, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | Yes | 1.54 | $0.650 | $0.08 | -$0.92 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 15?No | buy | 4.47 | $0.995 | $4.45 | Aug 8, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-08-18 21:38 UTC
Polymarket public position response
1 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-21 19:11 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-21 19:11 UTC
polymarket positions
35 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-08-18 21:38 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $9.45 and losing ones cost $13.99 across 34 settled positions. 79.4% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $5.55 on “Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?” (Yes); the largest loss, $2.63 on “Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?” (Yes).
Its most recent trade on record was on 8 Aug 2026. It has traded 35 markets. Its open positions are worth $0.08 across 1 market.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 4.23 |
| $0.945 |
| $4 |
| Jul 21, 2026 UTC |
 Will "My Hero Academia FINAL SEASON" win Anime of the Year at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?Yes | buy | 1.28 | $0.780 | $1 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?Yes | buy | 1.54 | $0.650 | $1 | May 11, 2026 UTC |
 LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Anyones Legend | buy | 2.93 | $0.670 | $1.96 | Apr 13, 2026 UTC |
| LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2Bilibili Gaming | buy | 4.01 | $0.960 | $3.85 | Mar 30, 2026 UTC |
 Will Paul Thomas Anderson win Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 3.87 | $0.939 | $3.63 | Mar 12, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?No | buy | 1.19 | $0.991 | $1.18 | Jan 25, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?No | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | Jan 12, 2026 UTC |
 Will Time 2025 Person of the Year be leaked?Yes | buy | 3.18 | $0.952 | $3.03 | Dec 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?Yes | buy | 2.86 | $0.920 | $2.63 | Nov 19, 2025 UTC |
 Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?Yes | buy | 3.03 | $0.990 | $3 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.01K | $0.897 | $903.28 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.03K | $0.897 | $923.91 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 763 | $0.897 | $684.41 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.02K | $0.896 | $909.44 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.04K | $0.896 | $930.05 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 747 | $0.896 | $669.31 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 551 | $0.897 | $494.25 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 900 | $0.897 | $807.3 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 550 | $0.897 | $493.35 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 749 | $0.897 | $671.85 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.14K | $0.896 | $1.02K | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 851 | $0.896 | $762.5 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 761 | $0.896 | $681.86 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 644 | $0.896 | $577.02 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 1.08K | $0.896 | $967.68 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 876 | $0.896 | $784.9 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 560 | $0.896 | $501.76 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 1.1K | $0.896 | $981.12 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 945 | $0.896 | $846.72 | Oct 3, 2025 UTC |
 No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 6.21 | $0.940 | $5.84 | Jul 5, 2025 UTC |
 Will Google have the top AI model on May 31?Yes | buy | 2.22 | $0.900 | $2 | May 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will 'Mission: Impossible - The Final Reckoning' gross between $60-65m opening weekend?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | May 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon tweet less than 100 times May 23–30?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | May 26, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on April 11?No | buy | 1.12 | $0.890 | $1 | Apr 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.998 | $1 | Apr 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Randy Fine win by 10-15%?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.997 | $1 | Apr 11, 2025 UTC |
| Will Jimmy Patronis win by less than 20%?Yes | buy | 1 | $0.996 | $1 | Apr 11, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk buy TikTok before April?No | buy | 1 | $0.999 | $1 | Mar 30, 2025 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump sign an executive order on March 30?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Mar 30, 2025 UTC |
 Yoon out as president of South Korea before April?No | buy | 1.01 | $0.995 | $1 | Mar 30, 2025 UTC |
 Will Karoline Leavitt say "President" 60+ times during next White House press briefing?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Mar 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Jerome Powell say "Good Afternoon" during the March meeting?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Mar 13, 2025 UTC |
 Will Liverpool win on 2025-03-08?Yes | buy | 1.14 | $0.880 | $1 | Mar 8, 2025 UTC |
| No change in Fed interest rates after March 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.03 | $0.970 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Donald Trump say "Energy" during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 1.61 | $0.620 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 UTC |
| Will Donald Trump say "Crypto" 5+ times during Crypto Summit on Friday?Yes | buy | 1.22 | $0.820 | $1 | Mar 7, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | sell | 1.44 | $0.710 | $1.02 | Mar 7, 2025 UTC |
 Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days?Yes | sell | 1.72 | $0.460 | $0.79 | Mar 7, 2025 UTC |
2 of 4 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 4 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.