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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes | sell | 50 | $0.027 | $1.35 | Jun 4, 2026 |
 |
| sell |
| 43.47 |
| $0.200 |
| $8.69 |
| Jun 4, 2026 |
 Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?Yes | buy | 58.41 | $0.257 | $15 | May 4, 2026 |
 US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?No | sell | 20 | $0.900 | $18 | May 4, 2026 |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | sell | 50.38 | $0.820 | $41.31 | May 3, 2026 |
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | sell | 54.54 | $0.560 | $30.54 | May 3, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No | buy | 54.55 | $0.550 | $30 | May 2, 2026 |
 MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 22.58 | $0.979 | $22.11 | Apr 30, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 15 | $0.830 | $12.45 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | sell | 15 | $0.850 | $12.75 | Apr 22, 2026 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | buy | 22.58 | $0.620 | $14 | Apr 18, 2026 |
 Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 20 | $0.170 | $3.4 | Apr 15, 2026 |
 Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.703 | $16.17 | Apr 14, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.610 | $12.2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 19, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.800 | $16 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No | buy | 50 | $0.600 | $30 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 40 | $0.940 | $37.6 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No | buy | 22.39 | $0.670 | $15 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | sell | 33 | $0.830 | $27.39 | Apr 10, 2026 |
 Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 22 | $0.660 | $14.52 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?No | sell | 23 | $0.896 | $20.61 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | sell | 20 | $0.910 | $18.2 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by April 30?No | sell | 43 | $0.590 | $25.37 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 3.18 | $0.710 | $2.26 | Apr 7, 2026 |
| Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 20 | $0.710 | $14.2 | Apr 7, 2026 |
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No | buy | 43 | $0.700 | $30.1 | Apr 6, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | sell | 25.51 | $0.820 | $20.92 | Apr 3, 2026 |
 Iran leadership change by April 30?No | sell | 50 | $0.890 | $44.5 | Apr 2, 2026 |
 Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?No | sell | 47 | $0.975 | $45.82 | Mar 31, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | sell | 43.83 | $0.984 | $43.13 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 30?No | buy | 13 | $0.650 | $8.45 | Mar 30, 2026 |
| Will Trump talk to Xi Jinping in March?No | buy | 47 | $0.600 | $28.2 | Mar 29, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 21.77 | $0.950 | $20.68 | Mar 27, 2026 |
 Will the DHS shutdown end after March 31, 2026?Yes | sell | 44 | $0.078 | $3.43 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No | buy | 30 | $0.500 | $15 | Mar 23, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 46.2 | $0.790 | $36.5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No | buy | 25.86 | $0.580 | $15 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by April 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?No | buy | 20 | $0.740 | $14.8 | Mar 18, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?No | sell | 8.79 | $0.720 | $6.33 | Mar 16, 2026 |
 Will Bill Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?No | sell | 38.46 | $0.930 | $35.77 | Mar 16, 2026 |
| US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?No | buy | 20.83 | $0.720 | $15 | Mar 15, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 30.61 | $0.490 | $15 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 21.77 | $0.689 | $15 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | sell | 39.7 | $0.671 | $26.64 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No | buy | 20.41 | $0.490 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 14.71 | $0.680 | $10 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?No | buy | 25 | $0.679 | $16.98 | Mar 11, 2026 |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?No | sell | 50 | $0.450 | $22.52 | Mar 11, 2026 |