Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Abigail Spanberger win by 6-9%?Yes | buy | 11.54 | $0.260 | $3 | Nov 3, 2025 |
|
| buy |
| 11.54 |
| $0.260 |
| $3 |
| Nov 3, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?No | sell | 5.55 | $0.989 | $5.49 | Nov 2, 2025 |
 Israel x Hamas ceasefire by October 10?Yes | buy | 1.06 | $0.940 | $1 | Oct 8, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?No | buy | 5.56 | $0.720 | $4 | Oct 5, 2025 |
 Andrew Cuomo gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 6.11 | $0.819 | $5 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Israel strike on Iran on June 28?Yes | sell | 25 | $0.170 | $4.25 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo’s RCV margin of victory be between 3% and 6% in the New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?Yes | buy | 12.5 | $0.080 | $1 | Jun 25, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.430 | $10 | Jun 24, 2025 |
 Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | sell | 16.12 | $0.092 | $1.48 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 26?Yes | sell | 12.04 | $0.200 | $2.41 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 25?Yes | sell | 11.66 | $0.210 | $2.45 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 25?Yes | buy | 11.67 | $0.429 | $5 | Jun 24, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 26?Yes | buy | 12.05 | $0.830 | $10 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 28?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Jun 23, 2025 |
| Another US military action against Iran by June 30?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jun 22, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 20?Yes | sell | 26.62 | $0.920 | $24.49 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | sell | 10.86 | $0.120 | $1.3 | Jun 19, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 18.8 | $0.436 | $8.2 | Jun 19, 2025 |
| Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?Yes | buy | 10.87 | $0.460 | $5 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 6.69 | $0.747 | $5 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 12.1 | $0.661 | $8 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 20?Yes | buy | 8.97 | $0.780 | $7 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 16.13 | $0.620 | $10 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 20?Yes | buy | 17.65 | $0.850 | $15 | Jun 17, 2025 |
 US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | sell | 8.04 | $0.530 | $4.26 | Jun 17, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 15.13 | $0.661 | $10 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 17?Yes | sell | 23.25 | $0.985 | $22.9 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before August?Yes | buy | 5.19 | $0.770 | $4 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| US military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 18.88 | $0.530 | $10 | Jun 16, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 17?Yes | buy | 23.26 | $0.860 | $20 | Jun 15, 2025 |
| Israel strike on Iran on June 14?Yes | buy | 32.89 | $0.912 | $30 | Jun 14, 2025 |
 Iran strike on Israel by Friday?Yes | buy | 11.43 | $0.875 | $10 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Iran strike on Israel by Friday?Yes | buy | 6.41 | $0.780 | $5 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Iran strike on Israel by Friday?Yes | buy | 14.6 | $0.685 | $10 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | sell | 7.5 | $0.997 | $7.48 | Jun 13, 2025 |
 Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | sell | 23.31 | $0.998 | $23.26 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 5.48 | $0.730 | $4 | Jun 13, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 4.23 | $0.710 | $3 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 4.65 | $0.430 | $2 | Jun 11, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?Yes | buy | 2.44 | $0.820 | $2 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran before July?Yes | buy | 8 | $0.250 | $2 | Jun 9, 2025 |
| US-Iran nuclear deal in 2025?No | buy | 2.56 | $0.390 | $1 | Jun 5, 2025 |
| Israel military action against Iran before 2026?Yes | buy | 3.28 | $0.610 | $2 | Jun 5, 2025 |
 Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | sell | 12.93 | $0.991 | $12.81 | Apr 30, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 2.41 | $0.830 | $2 | Apr 23, 2025 |
| Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?Yes | buy | 1.2 | $0.830 | $1 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Péter Erdő be the next pope?Yes | sell | 12.82 | $0.066 | $0.85 | Apr 23, 2025 |
 Will Luis Antonio Tagle be the next pope?No | sell | 4.05 | $0.798 | $3.23 | Apr 23, 2025 |