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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 133.55 | $0.201 | $26.84 | Jul 2, 2026 |
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| sell |
| 36.36 |
| $0.065 |
| $2.38 |
| Jul 2, 2026 |
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 34.25 | $0.040 | $1.37 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 7.02 | $0.189 | $1.33 | Apr 29, 2026 |
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 16.24 | $0.410 | $6.66 | Mar 4, 2026 |
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?Yes | buy | 5.49 | $0.910 | $5 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 21.74 | $0.230 | $5 | Dec 16, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 260.87 | $0.023 | $6 | Nov 17, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 10.42 | $0.480 | $5 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $6,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 180 | $0.050 | $9 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 161.29 | $0.031 | $5 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 266.67 | $0.060 | $16 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | sell | 300 | $0.040 | $12 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.027 | $5 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 300 | $0.050 | $15 | Nov 15, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 111.11 | $0.027 | $3 | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 60% and 65% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.024 | $3 | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 51.72 | $0.058 | $3 | Nov 2, 2025 |
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried in 2025?Yes | buy | 54.95 | $0.091 | $5 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after October 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 5.09 | $0.983 | $5 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?Yes | buy | 4.69 | $0.640 | $3 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.080 | $4 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 37.5 | $0.080 | $3 | Oct 29, 2025 |
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?Yes | buy | 41.67 | $0.120 | $5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.042 | $3 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.060 | $5 | Oct 27, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 61.11 | $0.090 | $5.5 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 41.54 | $0.130 | $5.4 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | sell | 38 | $0.280 | $10.64 | Oct 21, 2025 |
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps decrease at the September meeting?Yes | buy | 70 | $0.028 | $1.96 | Sep 5, 2025 |
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 24.04 | $0.104 | $2.5 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?Yes | buy | 80.65 | $0.031 | $2.5 | Aug 20, 2025 |
Will Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.170 | $10 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.200 | $5 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will Ethereum hit $7,000 by December 31?Yes | buy | 55.56 | $0.270 | $15 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.280 | $50 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will Volodymyr Zelensky win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?Yes | buy | 73.62 | $0.068 | $5 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Will Trump pardon Changpeng Zhao in 2025?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Yes | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Aug 19, 2025 |
Ethereum above $3,600 on July 25?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.929 | $1 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | sell | 2.38 | $0.830 | $1.98 | Jul 25, 2025 |
Fed rate cut in 2025?Yes | buy | 2.38 | $0.840 | $2 | Jul 21, 2025 |
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 36.36 | $0.110 | $4 | Jul 21, 2025 |
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 6.45 | $0.620 | $4 | Jul 24, 2024 |