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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 108.7 | $0.092 | $3.32 | -$6.68 |
 Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.035 | $10 | May 16, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 416.67 |
| $0.012 |
| $0.21 |
| -$4.79 |
| Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 227.27 | $0.022 | $0.11 | -$4.89 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 113.64 | $0.044 | $0.06 | -$4.94 |
| buy |
| 70.8 |
| $0.071 |
| $5 |
| May 8, 2026 |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in May?Yes | buy | 159.21 | $0.031 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.017 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.029 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 320 | $0.031 | $10 | May 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.042 | $5 | May 8, 2026 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.092 | $10 | May 8, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA reach $228 in April?Yes | buy | 487.88 | $0.020 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?Yes | buy | 233.14 | $0.043 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.025 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.035 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.016 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Yes | buy | 202.89 | $0.049 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | buy | 610.53 | $0.025 | $15 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.015 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 |
 US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.020 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Iran strike Yemen in March?Yes | buy | 96.09 | $0.052 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Afghanistan in March?Yes | buy | 195.46 | $0.051 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.032 | $3 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 2nd?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.033 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.028 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.049 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 109.35 | $0.046 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.005 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 Will the US strike another country first?Yes | buy | 640.96 | $0.008 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 279.72 | $0.036 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 3?Yes | buy | 114.83 | $0.044 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| US forces enter Iran by March 1?Yes | buy | 212.18 | $0.024 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | buy | 255 | $0.039 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | sell | 485.37 | $0.722 | $350.28 | Feb 22, 2026 |
 Will Philippines record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 219.42 | $0.005 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Venezuela record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 234.52 | $0.004 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will Nigeria record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 249.1 | $0.004 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| Will South Korea record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.019 | $2 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.71 | $0.033 | $2 | Feb 15, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Feb 15, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.085 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?Yes | buy | 66.25 | $0.075 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?No | buy | 2.74K | $0.015 | $40 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.267 | $40 | Jan 31, 2026 |
 Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of January?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Jan 30, 2026 |