Latest trade
May 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:35 PM UTC.
Analytics
Alarmed-Gaiters has made $40.58 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Not enough settled positions to split gains from losses.
Profit and volume as of 2026-04-01 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
May 16, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 4:35 PM UTC.
$5 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 50 markets; 96.0% were buys. They run from Jan 30, 2026 UTC to May 16, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | Yes | 108.7 | $0.092 | $2.55 | -$7.45 |
 Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?Yes | buy | 285.71 | $0.035 | $10 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-04-01 08:17 UTC
Polymarket public position response
4 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 16:35 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 16:35 UTC
polymarket positions
4 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-04-01 08:17 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
The largest win was $354.31 on “S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on January 29?” (Down).
Its most recent trade on record was on 16 May 2026. It has traded 94 markets. Its open positions are worth $3.05 across 4 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 227.27 |
| $0.022 |
| $0.23 |
| -$4.77 |
| Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 416.67 | $0.012 | $0.21 | -$4.79 |
| Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? | Yes | 113.64 | $0.044 | $0.06 | -$4.94 |
| buy |
| 70.8 |
| $0.071 |
| $5 |
| May 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $330 in May?Yes | buy | 159.21 | $0.031 | $5 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.25K | $0.004 | $5 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 833.33 | $0.006 | $5 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 1.67K | $0.006 | $10 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 294.12 | $0.017 | $5 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?No | buy | 172.41 | $0.029 | $5 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Trump visit China by June 30?No | buy | 320 | $0.031 | $10 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump visit China by May 31?No | buy | 100 | $0.050 | $5 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?Yes | buy | 119.05 | $0.042 | $5 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?Yes | buy | 108.7 | $0.092 | $10 | May 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will NVIDIA reach $228 in April?Yes | buy | 487.88 | $0.020 | $10 | Apr 29, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?Yes | buy | 233.14 | $0.043 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.025 | $10 | Mar 27, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 142.86 | $0.035 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 312.5 | $0.016 | $5 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?Yes | buy | 202.89 | $0.049 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?Yes | buy | 610.53 | $0.025 | $15 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?Yes | buy | 666.67 | $0.015 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.010 | $10 | Mar 20, 2026 UTC |
 US forces enter Iran by March 7?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.020 | $10 | Mar 6, 2026 UTC |
 Will Iran strike Yemen in March?Yes | buy | 96.09 | $0.052 | $5 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran strike Afghanistan in March?Yes | buy | 195.46 | $0.051 | $10 | Mar 4, 2026 UTC |
 Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 93.75 | $0.032 | $3 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Iran strike Turkey in March?Yes | buy | 71.43 | $0.070 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 2nd?Yes | buy | 151.52 | $0.033 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US officially declare war on Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 178.57 | $0.028 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June?Yes | buy | 102.04 | $0.049 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 109.35 | $0.046 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?Yes | buy | 1.11K | $0.005 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 Will the US strike another country first?Yes | buy | 640.96 | $0.008 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Yes | buy | 279.72 | $0.036 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 3?Yes | buy | 114.83 | $0.044 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| US forces enter Iran by March 1?Yes | buy | 212.18 | $0.024 | $5 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | buy | 255 | $0.039 | $10 | Mar 1, 2026 UTC |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31?Yes | sell | 485.37 | $0.722 | $350.28 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will Philippines record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 219.42 | $0.005 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Venezuela record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 234.52 | $0.004 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will Nigeria record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 249.1 | $0.004 | $1 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
| Will South Korea record a gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?No | buy | 105.26 | $0.019 | $2 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Yes | buy | 59.71 | $0.033 | $2 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
| US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?Yes | buy | 50 | $0.060 | $3 | Feb 15, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 59 | $0.085 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will the Bank of Canada announce a 50+ bps decrease at the April meeting?Yes | buy | 66.25 | $0.075 | $5 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?No | buy | 18.18 | $0.110 | $2 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 250 | $0.080 | $20 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will the government shutdown last 3 days or more?No | buy | 2.74K | $0.015 | $40 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 150 | $0.267 | $40 | Jan 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Google (GOOGL) close above $340 end of January?Yes | sell | 100 | $0.220 | $22 | Jan 30, 2026 UTC |
Placed on fixed scales: no Radar board ranking was cached on this server when the profile was read, so no archetype is claimed. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.