Analytics
Resolved No on 29 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.9%. Yes opened at 4.2% on 1 Feb 2026. Before it settled, across the 70 daily closes on record from 1 Feb 2026 to 29 Apr 2026 (18 days in that span have no close), the highest close was 4.7% on 7 Feb 2026 and the lowest 0.1% on 30 Mar 2026. $80.11K traded over the market's life.
45 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 30, 5:01 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 70 points, 1 Feb 2026 – 29 Apr 2026, chart shows 0%–10%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 1 Feb 2026 | 4.2% |
| 29 Apr 2026 | 0.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 14.15K |
| Standard-Constitution | Yes | 1K |
| Impure-Contour | Yes | 934.54 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the target for the overnight rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Bank of Canada's April 2026 meeting. If the target for the overnight rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 basis points and will resolve to the relevant bracket. For example, if the relevant rate is increased or decreased by 12.5 basis points, it will be treated as a 25 basis point change for the purposes of resolution. The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Canada after its April 29, 2026 policy meeting, as listed on the official Bank of Canada calendar: https://www.bankofcanada.ca/core-functions/monetary-policy/key-interest-rate/#target-dates This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Canada's statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/bank-of-canada-decision-in-april
| Yes |
| 795.52 |
| Shiny-Spectrum | Yes | 520.54 |
| noid2 | Yes | 500 |
| orion791 | Yes | 500 |
| cry.eth2 | Yes | 245.38 |
| wizardsmagic | Yes | 189.65 |
| ra5tadark | Yes | 161 |
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