Analytics
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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | Yes | 58.79 | $0.136 | $1.85 | -$6.15 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Enes Kanter Freedom be drafted in the 2027 WNBA Draft?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.080 | $5 | Aug 10, 2026 |
|
| Yes |
| 29.29 |
| $0.068 |
| $1.26 |
| -$0.74 |
 Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | Yes | 6.45 | $0.310 | $0.87 | -$1.13 |
 Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | Yes | 8.4 | $0.119 | $0.35 | -$0.65 |
| buy |
| 29.29 |
| $0.068 |
| $2 |
| Aug 10, 2026 |
 Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in March?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.100 | $4 | Mar 3, 2026 |
 Will the position of Supreme Leader of Iran be abolished?Yes | buy | 11.11 | $0.090 | $1 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | sell | 10.52 | $0.998 | $10.5 | Mar 3, 2026 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 8.4 | $0.119 | $1 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 14.29 | $0.140 | $2 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes | buy | 67.14 | $0.074 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 11.36 | $0.440 | $5 | Feb 28, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes | buy | 10.53 | $0.190 | $2 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.140 | $5 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 15 minutes and 2 hours and 30 minutes?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 2 hours and 2 hours and 15 minutes?Yes | buy | 10.99 | $0.091 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Alex Honnold not complete a free solo of Taipei 101 by January 31?Yes | buy | 27.4 | $0.073 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 UFC 324: Allen vs. Silva (Featherweight, Main Card)Allen | buy | 3.03 | $0.330 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| UFC 324: Lewis vs. Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)Lewis | buy | 3.85 | $0.260 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)Gaethje | buy | 6.25 | $0.320 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| UFC 324: Figueiredo vs. Nurmagomedov (Bantamweight, Prelims)Figueiredo | buy | 8.33 | $0.120 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| UFC 324: Fugitt vs. Miller (Welterweight, Early Prelims)Fugitt | buy | 4.17 | $0.240 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?Bitcoin | buy | 14.29 | $0.070 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Ethereum reach $3,300 January 19-25?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.022 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 January 19-25?Yes | buy | 12.51 | $0.080 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Will Solana reach $160 in January?Yes | buy | 24.39 | $0.041 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,100 on January 23?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.032 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,600 in January?Yes | buy | 37.04 | $0.027 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 23?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.060 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 5 | $0.200 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?Yes | buy | 23.08 | $0.130 | $3 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.017 | $1 | Jan 23, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | sell | 13.15 | $0.740 | $9.73 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 33.33 | $0.060 | $2 | Jan 23, 2026 |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Yes | buy | 9.09 | $0.220 | $2 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?Yes | buy | 53.76 | $0.093 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
 Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?Yes | buy | 38.46 | $0.130 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?No | buy | 13.16 | $0.380 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?No | buy | 42.55 | $0.047 | $2 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 113.64 | $0.044 | $5 | Jan 14, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 100 | $0.100 | $10 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Epstein client list released by June 30?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.160 | $5 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 40 | $0.025 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
 Another US strike on Venezuela on January 8?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Another US strike on Venezuela on January 6?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Jan 4, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 125 | $0.008 | $1 | Jan 2, 2026 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Yes | buy | 45.45 | $0.110 | $5 | Jan 2, 2026 |
 Saints vs. BuccaneersSaints | buy | 4.76 | $0.210 | $1 | Dec 6, 2025 |
 Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?No | buy | 9.09 | $0.110 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
 Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?Yes | buy | 20 | $0.050 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| Vikings vs. SeahawksVikings | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |
| LAR vs. PanthersPanthers | buy | 5.88 | $0.170 | $1 | Nov 29, 2025 |