
Resolved No on 25 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 93.9%. Yes opened at 17% on 24 Dec 2025. Before it settled, across the 33 daily closes on record from 24 Dec 2025 to 25 Jan 2026, the highest close was 17% on 24 Dec 2025 and the lowest 2.4% on 21 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 5 points down, to 12% on 25 Dec 2025. $285.14K traded over the market's life.
184 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 26, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 33 points, 24 Dec 2025 – 25 Jan 2026, chart shows 0%–20%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 24 Dec 2025 | 17.0% |
| 25 Jan 2026 | 6.1% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 171.36K |
| Bony-Curry | Yes | 5.97K |
| Robust-Footwear | Yes | 4.31K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
Alex Honnold is scheduled to free solo (climb without ropes or protective equipment) the tallest building in Taiwan (Taipei 101) on a Netflix livestream on January 23, 2026. This market will resolve according to the amount of time that it takes Alex Honnold to complete this free solo. Honnold’s free solo will begin when he first leaves the ground and starts climbing or when an on-screen timer of the climb begins (if available). Alex Honnold’s free solo will be considered completed when he finishes the full route depicted as the official climb in the Netflix livestream of the event without the use of ropes or protective equipment. If the livestream presents the climb as ending upon reaching the roof or 101st floor of Taipei 101, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold reaches that point. If the livestream presents the official route as continuing beyond the 101st floor to the top of the building’s spire, the climb will be considered completed when Honnold first reaches the top of the spire. If Alex Honnold completes the free solo in a time that falls exactly between two listed brackets, this market will resolve to the longest time bracket. If Honnold’s free solo attempt is canceled, postponed after January 31, 2026, abandoned before completion (e.g. he climbs back down or enters the building through a window), or otherwise not completed within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Not Completed". The resolution source for this market will be the Netflix livestream of Honnold’s climb (including an on-screen timer if available); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/how-long-will-it-take-alex-honnold-to-free-solo-taipei-101
| Yes |
| 4.03K |
| Tobita69 | Yes | 3.56K |
| aguyong.bnb | Yes | 3.01K |
| DarrenH | Yes | 2.58K |
| Grim-Exchange | Yes | 2.17K |
| heresjimmy | Yes | 2.09K |
| Spiteful-Mosquito | Yes | 1.93K |
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