Analytics
Resolved Cortes-Acosta on 25 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Cortes-Acosta at 75.5%. Yes opened at 33% on 6 Jan 2026. Before it settled, across the 20 daily closes on record from 6 Jan 2026 to 25 Jan 2026, the highest close was 33% on 6 Jan 2026 and the lowest 24.5% on 25 Jan 2026. $1.19M traded over the market's life.
418 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 26, 8:21 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 20 points, 6 Jan 2026 – 25 Jan 2026, chart shows 20%–35%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 6 Jan 2026 | 33.0% |
| 25 Jan 2026 | 24.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| YT-JuicySlots | Lewis | 36.45K |
| SmokeyMercs | Lewis | 8.34K |
| allpinkynobrain | Lewis | 8K |
| DOLLAR-PRINTER | Lewis | 4.77K |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
This market will resolve to "Lewis" if Derrick Lewis is officially declared the winner of the fight against Waldo Cortes-Acosta at UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett, scheduled for January 24, 2026. It will resolve to "Cortes-Acosta" if Waldo Cortes-Acosta is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond February 7, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/ufc-der-wal2-2026-01-24
New to prediction markets? How to read a market page
| Elvran11 | Lewis | 3.85K |
| BlindOrangutan | Lewis | 3.5K |
| Esvvhjtrfvnki7yg4gbj6yg | Lewis | 3.2K |
| 1aposhka | Lewis | 2.96K |
| awsu | Lewis | 2.6K |
| noloanplz | Lewis | 2.41K |
