Analytics
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| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump send Tomahawk to Ukraine by December 31?Yes | sell | 39.61 | $0.100 | $3.96 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 |
| sell |
| 99.7 |
| $0.040 |
| $3.99 |
| Oct 30, 2025 |
 Lisa Cook federally charged in 2025?Yes | sell | 27.77 | $0.140 | $3.89 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 83.34 | $0.057 | $4.75 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Adam Schiff federally charged by December 31?Yes | sell | 23.55 | $0.210 | $4.95 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?Yes | sell | 92.59 | $0.065 | $6.02 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?Yes | sell | 112.11 | $0.033 | $3.68 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?Yes | sell | 45.73 | $0.121 | $5.55 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 47.62 | $0.170 | $8.1 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?Yes | sell | 26.31 | $0.309 | $8.13 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?Yes | sell | 20.57 | $0.289 | $5.94 | Oct 30, 2025 |
 Will Trump and Xi shake hands for 10 seconds or more on October 30, 2025?Yes | buy | 52.63 | $0.190 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Trump endorse Andrew Cuomo for NYC Mayor?Yes | buy | 112.11 | $0.089 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 |
 Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?Yes | sell | 62.5 | $0.130 | $8.13 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 47.62 | $0.210 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 83.33 | $0.120 | $10 | Oct 29, 2025 |
| Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 3.21K | $0.250 | $801.53 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 3.21K | $0.307 | $987.58 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31Yes | buy | 42.37 | $0.236 | $10 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will China lift rare earths export ban by December 31?Yes | buy | 26.32 | $0.380 | $10 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?Yes | sell | 74.58 | $0.986 | $73.54 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | sell | 41.08 | $0.230 | $9.45 | Oct 26, 2025 |
 Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?Yes | sell | 96.54 | $0.060 | $5.79 | Oct 26, 2025 |
| Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?Yes | buy | 92.59 | $0.054 | $5 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?Yes | buy | 41.08 | $0.243 | $10 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump endorse a candidate for NYC Mayor?Yes | buy | 96.55 | $0.104 | $10 | Oct 25, 2025 |
| Will Trump pardon Roger Ver in 2025?Yes | buy | 62.5 | $0.160 | $10 | Oct 25, 2025 |
 Will Obama endorse Mamdani?Yes | buy | 72.44 | $0.138 | $10 | Oct 24, 2025 |
| Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?Yes | buy | 43.33 | $0.115 | $5 | Oct 24, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Scum" this week? (October 20-26)Yes | sell | 15.61 | $0.999 | $15.59 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Powell say "Unemployment" or "Employment" 25+ times during October press conference?No | buy | 19.23 | $0.130 | $2.5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Chris Christie charged in 2025?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.080 | $2.5 | Oct 23, 2025 |
| Will Trump & Elon reduce the deficit in 2025?Yes | buy | 45.73 | $0.219 | $10 | Oct 23, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Drone war" in October?No | buy | 28.42 | $0.176 | $5 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Marxism" in October?Yes | buy | 29.41 | $0.170 | $5 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Trump say "Fuck" again by October 31?Yes | buy | 51 | $0.098 | $5 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Romania Parliamentary Election called in 2025?Yes | buy | 60.98 | $0.041 | $2.5 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 1.2K | $0.300 | $362 | Oct 22, 2025 |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 1.21K | $0.356 | $430 | Oct 22, 2025 |
 Will Elon and DOGE cut 50-100k employees in 2025?Yes | buy | 12 | $0.012 | $0.14 | Oct 21, 2025 |
 Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 539.86 | $0.035 | $18.86 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Catalin Drula be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.340 | $340 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 1K | $0.264 | $265 | Oct 21, 2025 |
| Will Powell say "Possibility" during October press conference?Yes | buy | 16.67 | $0.600 | $10 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Speedboat" this week? (October 20-26)Yes | buy | 16.39 | $0.610 | $10 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Trump say "Scum" this week? (October 20-26)Yes | buy | 15.62 | $0.640 | $10 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will any Louvre heist robbers be arrested by October 31?Yes | buy | 31.25 | $0.320 | $10 | Oct 20, 2025 |
| Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 42.86 | $0.070 | $3 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | sell | 2.99 | $0.060 | $0.18 | Oct 18, 2025 |
| Will Stelian Bujduveanu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?Yes | buy | 500 | $0.070 | $35 | Oct 18, 2025 |