Analytics
Resolved No on 1 Jan 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had No at 99.5%. Yes opened at 53.5% on 27 Feb 2025. Before it settled, across the 310 daily closes on record from 27 Feb 2025 to 1 Jan 2026, the highest close was 73% on 11 Mar 2025 and the lowest 0.5% on 1 Jan 2026. Its largest one-day move was 41 points down, to 27% on 2 May 2025. $67.57K traded over the market's life.
68 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Jan 2, 8:33 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 310 points, 27 Feb 2025 – 1 Jan 2026
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2025 | 53.5% |
| 1 Jan 2026 | 0.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| VoidArchangel | Yes | 1.08K |
| Felcias | Yes | 960.62 |
| test1231234 | Yes | 771.95 |
Far-right populist candidate for President of Romania Călin Georgescu has been charged as part of an ongoing investigation for election campaign fraud amidst a contentious election. You can read more about it here: https://www.romaniajournal.ro/society-people/law-crime/prosecutors-charge-calin-georgescu-with-incitement-fraud-promoting-fascist-ideas/ This market will resolve to "Yes" if Călin Georgescu is found guilty of any charges related to the 2024/2025 Romanian Presidential election by December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". In the event that all charges are dropped or vacated, a mistrial is declared, or all ongoing investigations/cases are otherwise ended without a guilty verdict, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the first verdict rendered for each charge. Subsequent appeals, etc., will not count toward this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Romania, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/georgescu-guilty-in-2025
| Crispy22 | Yes | 495.91 |
| SilentFlow | Yes | 250 |
| godsmackrrc | Yes | 227.27 |
| FrankyFourFingers | Yes | 200 |
| mirciucu | Yes | 153.85 |
| Bright Horizon 81D6 | Yes | 147 |
| Bobsterman | Yes | 100 |
Open a trader’s name to inspect the wallet’s available P&L, positions and recorded trades, with source dates and coverage. A large position alone does not establish a winning track record.
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