Latest trade
Dec 20, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 11:44 AM UTC.
Analytics
Ivan44 is down $66 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 24 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-01-03 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Dec 20, 2025 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 24, 11:44 AM UTC.
$20 median trade
Its latest 35 trades covered 30 markets; 88.6% were buys. They run from Dec 31, 2024 UTC to Dec 20, 2025 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
Polymarket returned no open positions for this wallet.
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?Yes | sell | 119.04 | $0.820 | $97.61 | Dec 20, 2025 UTC |
|
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-01-03 01:35 UTC
Polymarket public position response
0 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-24 11:44 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
35 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-24 11:44 UTC
polymarket positions
26 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-01-03 01:35 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $86.69 and losing ones cost $82.52 across 24 settled positions. 79.2% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $15.71 on “Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?” (Yes); the largest loss, $40 on “Flyers vs. Sharks” (Sharks).
Its most recent trade on record was on 20 Dec 2025. It has traded 30 markets. It holds no open positions.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| buy |
| 119.05 |
| $0.840 |
| $100 |
| Dec 20, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | sell | 112.35 | $0.940 | $105.61 | Dec 20, 2025 UTC |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | sell | 14.08 | $0.800 | $11.26 | Dec 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will Luís Marques Mendes win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?Yes | buy | 30.3 | $0.660 | $20 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Málaga CF win on 2025-12-08?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Manchester United win on 2025-12-08?Yes | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Dec 8, 2025 UTC |
 Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?No | buy | 51.41 | $0.778 | $40 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by December 31?No | buy | 112.36 | $0.890 | $100 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
 GPT ads by December 31?No | buy | 91.07 | $0.878 | $80 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
 Will André Ventura win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?No | buy | 21.83 | $0.916 | $20 | Dec 3, 2025 UTC |
| Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?Yes | buy | 14.08 | $0.710 | $10 | Nov 29, 2025 UTC |
 Will Trump talk to Nicolás Maduro in November?No | buy | 11.66 | $0.857 | $10 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?No | buy | 20.47 | $0.977 | $20 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
 Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Houston CougarsHouston Cougars | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
 Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia in 2025?No | buy | 12.22 | $0.818 | $10 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 60.36 | $0.994 | $60 | Nov 26, 2025 UTC |
 Mavericks vs. TimberwolvesTimberwolves | buy | 45.45 | $0.880 | $40 | Nov 17, 2025 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?No | buy | 62.83 | $0.955 | $60 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?Yes | buy | 35.71 | $0.560 | $20 | Nov 16, 2025 UTC |
 North Texas vs. UAB BlazersNorth Texas | buy | 22.47 | $0.890 | $20 | Nov 15, 2025 UTC |
 UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)Makhachev | buy | 27.03 | $0.740 | $20 | Nov 15, 2025 UTC |
| Michigan vs. NorthwesternMichigan | buy | 25 | $0.800 | $20 | Nov 15, 2025 UTC |
| South Carolina vs. Texas A&MTexas A&M | buy | 27.47 | $0.910 | $25 | Nov 15, 2025 UTC |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?No | buy | 221.77 | $0.992 | $220 | Nov 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk post 20-39 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Oct 15, 2025 UTC |
| Will Switzerland win on 2025-10-13?Yes | buy | 34.48 | $0.580 | $20 | Oct 12, 2025 UTC |
 Will Ethereum reach $6500 in August?No | buy | 20.16 | $0.992 | $20 | Aug 20, 2025 UTC |
 Boxing: Usyk vs Dubois 2Usyk | buy | 15.79 | $0.760 | $12 | Jul 17, 2025 UTC |
 Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?No | buy | 25.1 | $0.996 | $25 | Jan 13, 2025 UTC |
 Iggy Azalea vs. ProfitsIggy | sell | 59.69 | $0.497 | $29.66 | Jan 13, 2025 UTC |
 Warriors vs. PistonsPistons | buy | 66.32 | $0.570 | $37.8 | Jan 9, 2025 UTC |
| Iggy Azalea vs. ProfitsIggy | buy | 59.7 | $0.503 | $30 | Jan 7, 2025 UTC |
 Flyers vs. SharksSharks | buy | 102.56 | $0.390 | $40 | Dec 31, 2024 UTC |
 Will Bitcoin hit $250k in 2024?Yes | buy | 2K | $0.001 | $2 | Dec 31, 2024 UTC |
1 of 3 axes ranked against the 121 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 5 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.