Analytics
Resolved Yes on 16 Nov 2025.
The last daily price before settlement had Yes at 56.5%. Yes opened at 50% on 21 Oct 2025. Before it settled, the high was 66.5% on 11 Nov 2025 and the low 45% on 7 Nov 2025. Its largest one-day move was 13 points up, to 58.5% on 8 Nov 2025. $369.3K traded over the market's life.
55 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 2, 6:24 PM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB, 27 points, 21 Oct 2025 – 16 Nov 2025, chart shows 40%–80%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 21 Oct 2025 | 50.0% |
| 16 Nov 2025 | 56.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Indigo Signal 2966 | No | 23.29K |
| CTL3 | No | 2.53K |
| KUPRA-785 | No | 999.95 |
| Johnny8886 | No | 995.98 |
| tacas | No | 926.43 |
| polinomics | No | 799.37 |
| valeron88 | No | 755.16 |
| Kukars | No | 477.22 |
| TuilaHieu | No | 392.16 |
| bytradingus | No | 386.33 |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
This event is for the upcoming Europe World Cup Qualifiers game, scheduled for Sunday, November 16, 2025 between Ukraine and Iceland.
Resolution source: fifa.com
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/uef-ukr-isl-2025-11-16
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