Analytics
Pilagi has made $298.12 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-06 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Eritrea invades Ethiopia by October 31? | No | 427.72 | $0.584 | $409.11 | +$159.11 |
| Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by October 31, 2026? |
| Category | Realized PnL | Volume | Trades | Markets | Win rate | Position value |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| uncategorized | $0 | $0 | 43 | 1 | 0.0% | $11.89 |
This view does not establish the wallet’s complete trading history.
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-06 15:50 UTC
Polymarket public position response
23 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-25 07:02 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
Recent fills unavailable
2026-10-25 07:02 UTC
polymarket positions
52 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-06 15:50 UTC
Profile checked . Each figure keeps its own source time.
Compare P&L with positions and recorded trades, and check the source dates. A rank or a profitable period alone does not establish repeatable returns.
Winning positions brought in $651.34 and losing ones cost $398 across the latest 50 settled positions. 70% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $100.24 on “Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary…” (Yes); the largest loss, $129.11 on “Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly…” (Yes).
It has traded 270 markets. Its open positions are worth $1.22K across 23 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| No |
| 314.26 |
| $0.809 |
| $246.7 |
| -$7.63 |
 Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | 231.41 | $0.843 | $186.28 | -$8.72 |
 Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | Yes | 72.07 | $0.833 | $61.69 | +$1.68 |
 Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? | Yes | 73.7 | $0.814 | $55.65 | -$4.35 |
| Eritrea invades Ethiopia by December 31? | No | 60.8 | $0.493 | $51.98 | +$21.98 |
 Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | No | 77.34 | $0.853 | $35.38 | -$30.62 |
 Putin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027? | No | 32.97 | $0.910 | $29.51 | -$0.49 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | No | 33.71 | $0.890 | $29.16 | -$0.84 |
 NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | No | 22.99 | $0.870 | $22.45 | +$2.45 |
 Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? | No | 22.5 | $0.764 | $17.44 | +$0.24 |
 Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? | No | 17.35 | $0.784 | $13.27 | -$0.33 |
 Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? | Yes | 16.58 | $0.904 | $13.01 | -$1.99 |
 Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election? | Yes | 11.11 | $0.900 | $9.5 | -$0.5 |
| Will Ethiopia target Eritrea by December 31, 2026? | No | 9.43 | $0.530 | $6.42 | +$1.42 |
 US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | Yes | 6.41 | $0.780 | $6.03 | +$1.03 |
| US x Yemen ceasefire continues through November 30? | Yes | 6.58 | $0.760 | $5.1 | +$0.1 |
 Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? | Yes | 7.05 | $0.709 | $4.89 | -$0.11 |
 Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | Yes | 5.95 | $0.840 | $4.76 | -$0.24 |
 Will Zohran Mamdani be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | Yes | 17.24 | $0.290 | $4.4 | -$0.6 |
 Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Yes | 5.97 | $0.670 | $2.69 | -$1.31 |
 Will the Toronto Maple Leafs be named the 2026-27 NHL Stanley Cup Champion? | Yes | 58 | $0.034 | $1.77 | -$0.23 |
 Will PayPal be acquired before 2027? | Yes | 5.97 | $0.670 | $0.63 | -$3.37 |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 86 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.
