Latest trade
Oct 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 11:32 AM UTC.
Analytics
ilmari99 has made $859.61 on Polymarket.
Share of settled positions that closed in profit.
Losses as a share of gains across 50 settled positions.
Profit and volume as of 2026-10-03 UTC. Positions and trades are read separately; the Sources tab has their times.
From the trades and settled positions Polymarket lists for this wallet.
Oct 5, 2026 UTC
The most recent trade Polymarket lists for this wallet. Checked Oct 22, 11:32 AM UTC.
$100 median trade
Its latest 50 trades covered 35 markets; 82.0% were buys. They run from Feb 11, 2026 UTC to Oct 5, 2026 UTC. A recent sample, not the wallet's full history.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | No | 1.1K | $0.730 | $805.48 | +$5.48 |
 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?Yes | buy | 2.06K | $0.389 | $800 | 16d ago |
 |
Polymarket public profile
Figures shown from the accepted source observation
2026-10-03 16:59 UTC
Polymarket public position response
9 open positions returned; page complete
2026-10-22 11:32 UTC
Polymarket public trade response
50 recent fills loaded; lifetime history not established
2026-10-22 11:32 UTC
polymarket positions
51 dated points returned
Latest chart point: 2026-10-03 16:59 UTC
Last checked just now.
Winning positions brought in $3.96K and losing ones cost $2.34K across the latest 50 settled positions. 44% of them closed in profit.
The largest win was $889.66 on “US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?” (Yes); the largest loss, $500 on “Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?” (No).
Its most recent trade on record was on 5 Oct 2026. It has traded 113 markets. Its open positions are worth $2.19K across 9 markets.
Source: Polymarket's public profile and leaderboard. How to read a trader profile
| Yes |
| 2.06K |
| $0.389 |
| $730.98 |
| -$69.02 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? | Yes | 526.32 | $0.570 | $255.26 | -$44.74 |
 Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? | Yes | 1.24K | $0.402 | $217.67 | -$282.33 |
 Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96? | No | 380.48 | $0.263 | $98.93 | -$1.07 |
 Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026? | No | 67 | $0.740 | $39.53 | -$10.05 |
 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Yes | 181.82 | $0.110 | $30.45 | +$10.45 |
 X banned in any European country by December 31? | Yes | 41.61 | $0.481 | $4.99 | -$15.01 |
 Will the Republicans win the Minnesota governor race in 2026? | Yes | 86.96 | $0.230 | $3.83 | -$16.17 |
| sell |
| 552.61 |
| $0.003 |
| $1.68 |
| 18d ago |
| Will Albania win on 2026-10-03?Yes | buy | 552.62 | $0.018 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Finland leading at halftime?Yes | sell | 333.33 | $0.030 | $10 | 18d ago |
| Finland leading at halftime?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.300 | $100 | 19d ago |
| Will "GTA VI" have a Metascore of at least 96?No | buy | 380.48 | $0.263 | $100 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?Yes | buy | 1.24K | $0.402 | $500 | 19d ago |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of December 2026?Yes | buy | 526.32 | $0.570 | $300 | 21d ago |
 Finland vs. FranceFinland | buy | 18.33 | $0.564 | $10.33 | 26d ago |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 1.1K | $0.730 | $800 | Sep 19, 2026 UTC |
| Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by September 30, 2026?No | buy | 674.24 | $0.742 | $500 | Sep 10, 2026 UTC |
 Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland | sell | 579.71 | $0.563 | $326.56 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
| Norway vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland | buy | 579.71 | $0.690 | $400 | Jul 11, 2026 UTC |
 Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 2.5K | $0.002 | $5 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
 Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | sell | 522.19 | $0.297 | $154.87 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. Morocco: Second half draw?Yes | buy | 317.38 | $0.315 | $100 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| France vs. Morocco: Second half draw?Yes | buy | 571.43 | $0.350 | $200 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 522.19 | $0.383 | $200 | Jul 9, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | sell | 420 | $0.620 | $260.4 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?Yes | buy | 400 | $0.250 | $100 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to AdvanceArgentina | buy | 188.68 | $0.530 | $100 | Jul 7, 2026 UTC |
| Mexico vs. England: Team to AdvanceEngland | buy | 20 | $0.510 | $10.2 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
| Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes | buy | 18.03 | $0.610 | $11 | Jul 5, 2026 UTC |
 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 17?No | buy | 58 | $0.170 | $9.86 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No | buy | 420 | $0.476 | $199.92 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes | buy | 2.5K | $0.039 | $97.5 | Jun 30, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No | buy | 3.5 | $0.740 | $2.59 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No | buy | 6 | $0.740 | $4.44 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
| Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2026?No | buy | 57.5 | $0.740 | $42.55 | Jun 24, 2026 UTC |
 Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?Yes | buy | 2.23K | $0.045 | $100 | Jun 23, 2026 UTC |
 Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by September 30?No | buy | 1.35K | $0.740 | $1K | Jun 19, 2026 UTC |
 Set Handicap: Tian (-1.5) vs Korneeva (+1.5)Tian | buy | 10 | $0.100 | $1 | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | sell | 1.18K | $0.926 | $1.09K | Jun 15, 2026 UTC |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes | buy | 1.18K | $0.170 | $200 | Jun 8, 2026 UTC |
 World Championships: Switzerland vs. FinlandFinland | buy | 212.77 | $0.470 | $100 | May 31, 2026 UTC |
 Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | sell | 592.3 | $0.998 | $591.02 | May 19, 2026 UTC |
 Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?Yes | buy | 208.33 | $0.240 | $50 | May 16, 2026 UTC |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | sell | 364.29 | $0.476 | $173.4 | May 15, 2026 UTC |
| X banned in any European country by December 31?Yes | buy | 41.61 | $0.481 | $20 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?No | buy | 685.43 | $0.292 | $200 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
| Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?No | buy | 364.3 | $0.549 | $200 | May 10, 2026 UTC |
 Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 112.87 | $0.532 | $60 | Apr 28, 2026 UTC |
| Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?No | buy | 592.3 | $0.506 | $300 | Apr 27, 2026 UTC |
| Another critical Cloudflare incident by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 677.59 | $0.443 | $300 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?No | buy | 714.87 | $0.699 | $500 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
 Will SpaceX's public ticker be $X?No | buy | 104 | $0.500 | $52 | Mar 8, 2026 UTC |
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes | buy | 444.44 | $0.450 | $200 | Feb 28, 2026 UTC |
 US strikes Iran by March 13, 2026?Yes | buy | 745.1 | $0.510 | $380 | Feb 27, 2026 UTC |
 Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 185.19 | $0.540 | $100 | Feb 22, 2026 UTC |
 Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 58.82 | $0.340 | $20 | Feb 11, 2026 UTC |
4 of 6 axes ranked against the 108 wallets on the Radar board (crypto positions observed 2026-09-20); the others stay on fixed scales, as each axis says. Not drawn for this wallet: 2 of 8 axes. Missing axes are left out of the shape and the score is reduced when fewer than five are available. Observed just now. Watch only — not advice.