Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? | Yes | 79.2 | $0.139 | $1.39 | -$9.61 |
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This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | sell | 2 | $0.970 | $1.94 | Apr 23, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 1.41 |
| $0.710 |
| $1.06 |
| +$0.06 |
 AI bubble burst in 2026? | Yes | 4.78 | $0.209 | $0.49 | -$0.51 |
 Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 1.96 | $0.510 | $0.16 | -$0.84 |
| buy |
| 12.67 |
| $0.380 |
| $4.81 |
| Apr 21, 2026 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?No | buy | 2 | $0.860 | $1.72 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?Yes | buy | 4.03 | $0.992 | $4 | Apr 8, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 72.54 | $0.138 | $10 | Apr 8, 2026 |
 Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-06?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Mar 6, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Epstein" during the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 1.15 | $0.870 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Kash Patel attend the 2026 State of the Union address?No | buy | 1.23 | $0.815 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will the 2026 State of the Union address last 100 minutes or longer?Yes | buy | 1.3 | $0.770 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will Trump say "Venezuela" during the State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?Yes | buy | 1.01 | $0.992 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "Olympic" or "Olympics" during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 1.05 | $0.950 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
| Will Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?Yes | buy | 1.02 | $0.977 | $1 | Feb 25, 2026 |
 U.S. anti-cartel strike/operation on foreign soil by February 28, 2026?No | buy | 1.03 | $0.968 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 House passes Iran war powers resolution this week?No | buy | 1.04 | $0.960 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Kash Patel out by March 31?No | buy | 1.02 | $0.976 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Anthropic have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | buy | 1.08 | $0.928 | $1 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | sell | 2 | $0.460 | $0.92 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | sell | 3.44 | $0.230 | $0.79 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Yes | sell | 3.22 | $0.120 | $0.39 | Feb 24, 2026 |
 Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Yes | buy | 1.82 | $0.550 | $1 | Feb 20, 2026 |
 Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?No | buy | 2.38 | $0.420 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Parti Québécois win the most seats in the 2026 Quebec general election?Yes | buy | 1.41 | $0.710 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 2.5 | $0.400 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?Yes | buy | 1.96 | $0.510 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| AI bubble burst in 2026?Yes | buy | 4.78 | $0.209 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?Yes | buy | 6.67 | $0.150 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Prince Andrew sentenced to prison?Yes | buy | 3.23 | $0.310 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes | buy | 3.45 | $0.290 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will Google have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?Yes | buy | 2 | $0.500 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
 Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Yes | buy | 1.35 | $0.740 | $1 | Feb 19, 2026 |
| Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Yes | sell | 1.17 | $0.130 | $0.15 | Feb 19, 2026 |