Analytics
Resolved Lightning on 22 Apr 2026.
The last daily price before settlement had Lightning at 61.5%. Yes opened at 37.5% on 19 Apr 2026. Before it settled, the high was 38.5% on 22 Apr 2026 and the low 34% on 20 Apr 2026. $650.86K traded over the market's life.
294 wallets still hold shares. Winners redeem theirs after settlement, so what is left is mostly the losing side.
Polymarket record as of Apr 23, 4:11 AM UTC
Daily closes of the Yes price, Polymarket CLOB · 4 points · 19 Apr 2026 – 22 Apr 2026 · axis zoomed to 30%–45%
| Observed | Yes price |
|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | 37.5% |
| 22 Apr 2026 | 38.5% |
Winners have redeemed their shares, so most of what is left is the losing side.
| Trader | Outcome | Shares |
|---|---|---|
| Mosley1 | Canadiens | 78.96K |
| 4qfrankie | Canadiens | 26.23K |
| roldy | Canadiens | 12K |
| royalestake | Canadiens | 10K |
| Suburban-Wolf | Canadiens | 2.2K |
| Keen Falcon D40C | Canadiens | 2.08K |
| Royal Beacon 1187 | Canadiens | 1.72K |
| Artur234 | Canadiens | 1.32K |
| Mundane-Twilight | Canadiens | 1.14K |
| Myradfg | Canadiens | 1.1K |
Every wallet's public record, and 80,000 ranked by lifetime P&L: Polymarket leaderboard
In the upcoming NHL game, scheduled for April 21 at 7:00PM ET: If the Canadiens win, the market will resolve to "Canadiens". If the Lightning win, the market will resolve to "Lightning". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
Official listing: polymarket.com/event/nhl-mon-tb-2026-04-21
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