Analytics
Profile detail last fetched just now. Trade times and chart dates show when activity occurred.
| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | 460 | $0.890 | $121.9 | -$287.5 |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed rate hike in 2026?No | buy | 460 | $0.890 | $409.4 | Feb 5, 2026 |
 |
| buy |
| 180 |
| $0.958 |
| $172.42 |
| Jan 5, 2026 |
 US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?No | buy | 287.97 | $0.760 | $218.86 | Jan 5, 2026 |
 Will Trump acquire Greenland before July?No | buy | 400 | $0.948 | $379.2 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Birthright citizenship ban blocked in January?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.933 | $186.6 | Jan 22, 2025 |
 Will a nuclear weapon detonate in 2024?No | buy | 89.82 | $0.958 | $86.03 | Dec 14, 2024 |
 OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?No | buy | 80 | $0.260 | $20.8 | Dec 7, 2024 |
| OpenAI Sora public release in 2024?No | buy | 20 | $0.250 | $5 | Dec 7, 2024 |
 GPT-5 announced in Q4 2024?No | buy | 60 | $0.950 | $57 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?No | buy | 70 | $0.770 | $53.9 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Will Trump impose 25% tariff on Mexico or Canada before February?No | buy | 70 | $0.810 | $56.7 | Dec 3, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?No | buy | 79.43 | $0.830 | $65.93 | Nov 29, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?No | buy | 200 | $0.690 | $138 | Nov 26, 2024 |
 Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | buy | 300 | $0.207 | $62.1 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?No | buy | 200 | $0.334 | $66.8 | Nov 26, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Yes | sell | 200 | $0.430 | $86 | Nov 25, 2024 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?Yes | buy | 200 | $0.790 | $158 | Nov 23, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No | sell | 308.69 | $0.979 | $302.21 | Nov 23, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?No | buy | 308.69 | $0.982 | $303.13 | Nov 12, 2024 |
 Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 303.23 | $0.983 | $298.16 | Nov 6, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | sell | 118.18 | $0.020 | $2.36 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 296.32 | $0.940 | $278.54 | Nov 6, 2024 |
 Will Biden finish his term?Yes | buy | 333.33 | $0.870 | $290 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Iran Nuke in 2024?No | buy | 297.62 | $0.840 | $250 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?Yes | buy | 136.36 | $0.880 | $120 | Nov 2, 2024 |
 Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 1.37K | $0.365 | $500 | Oct 23, 2024 |
 Will Israeli troops enter Beirut by October 31?No | buy | 16.88 | $0.950 | $16.04 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after November 2024 meeting?Yes | buy | 118.18 | $0.110 | $13 | Oct 8, 2024 |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Yes | buy | 479.3 | $0.459 | $220 | Oct 8, 2024 |