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| Market | Outcome | Size | Avg price | Position value | PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 160 | $0.258 | $140.24 | +$98.96 |
 Another S&P 500 Company buys Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? |
This wallet's markets have not resolved into a category mix in the public profile data yet.
| Market | Side | Size | Price | Notional | When |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brie Larson as Captain Marvel?Yes | sell | 148 | $0.600 | $88.8 | Apr 27, 2026 |
 |
| Yes |
| 262 |
| $0.701 |
| $34.58 |
| -$149.08 |
 Will Ethena reach $0.60 by December 31, 2026? | Yes | 620 | $0.120 | $27.9 | -$46.5 |
 OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.6T? | No | 44 | $0.790 | $11.44 | -$23.32 |
 Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? | Yes | 83 | $0.200 | $4.19 | -$12.41 |
 Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? | Yes | 500 | $0.180 | $4 | -$86 |
 Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | 20 | $0.120 | $3.81 | +$1.41 |
 Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026 | No | 4 | $0.710 | $3.04 | +$0.2 |
 Will there be at least 4000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? | Yes | 3 | $0.630 | $2.87 | +$0.98 |
 Will there be between 14 and 16 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? | No | 1 | $0.730 | $0.5 | -$0.23 |
 Stripe IPO before 2027? | Yes | 0.59 | $0.160 | $0.03 | -$0.06 |
| sell |
| 54 |
| $0.989 |
| $53.41 |
| Apr 27, 2026 |
 Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 579 | $0.850 | $492.15 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 20 | $0.840 | $16.8 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No | sell | 80.7 | $0.850 | $68.6 | Apr 27, 2026 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?No | buy | 680 | $0.840 | $571.2 | Apr 24, 2026 |
 Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?No | sell | 1.03K | $0.660 | $677.82 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?No | sell | 12 | $0.810 | $9.72 | Apr 21, 2026 |
 Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?No | sell | 579 | $0.828 | $479.41 | Apr 21, 2026 |
| Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?No | sell | 626 | $0.790 | $494.54 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | sell | 462 | $0.680 | $314.16 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 462 | $0.680 | $314.16 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?No | buy | 233 | $0.560 | $130.48 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Seoul have between 55-60mm of precipitation in April?No | buy | 680 | $0.890 | $605.2 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 1.5Under | buy | 575 | $0.270 | $155.25 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Hong Kong have less than 130mm of precipitation in April?No | buy | 1.03K | $0.490 | $503.23 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | sell | 605 | $0.570 | $344.85 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No | sell | 663 | $0.520 | $344.76 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No | sell | 711 | $0.630 | $447.93 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Epic Games IPO before 2027?Yes | sell | 8 | $0.190 | $1.52 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?No | buy | 663 | $0.540 | $358.02 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No | buy | 14 | $0.630 | $8.82 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No | buy | 605 | $0.570 | $344.85 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| Will Starmer say "Nuclear" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?No | buy | 630 | $0.630 | $396.9 | Apr 13, 2026 |
| 5kt meteor strike in 2026?No | buy | 711 | $0.630 | $447.93 | Apr 13, 2026 |
 Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No | sell | 675 | $0.480 | $324 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 883 | $0.870 | $768.21 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 1.05K | $0.870 | $910.89 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 720 | $0.860 | $619.2 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?No | sell | 902 | $0.250 | $225.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?No | sell | 358 | $0.710 | $254.18 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | sell | 64 | $0.860 | $55.04 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during April press conference?No | buy | 902 | $0.250 | $225.5 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30?No | buy | 675 | $0.530 | $357.75 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?No | buy | 2.71K | $0.870 | $2.36K | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?No | sell | 7 | $0.876 | $6.13 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No | sell | 297 | $0.630 | $187.11 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No | sell | 624 | $0.630 | $393.12 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?No | sell | 793 | $0.750 | $594.75 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026?No | buy | 160 | $0.258 | $41.28 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?No | buy | 793 | $0.760 | $602.68 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from April 13 - April 19?No | buy | 358 | $0.820 | $293.56 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Luxembourg advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No | buy | 921 | $0.640 | $589.44 | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?No | sell | 18 | $0.876 | $15.77 | Apr 12, 2026 |
 Will Chiaki Kobayashi as Yoshiki Tsujinaka (The Summer Hikaru Died) win Best Anime Voice Artist Performance (Japanese) at the 2026 Crunchyroll Anime Awards?No | sell | 1.19K | $0.850 | $1.01K | Apr 12, 2026 |
| Will Elon Musk post 1200-1239 tweets in April 2026?No | sell | 700 | $0.876 | $613.2 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Portsmouth FC win on 2026-01-04?No | sell | 649 | $0.730 | $473.77 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Ripple Labs IPO before 2027?No | sell | 125 | $0.870 | $108.75 | Apr 11, 2026 |
 Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon?No | sell | 586 | $0.602 | $352.77 | Apr 11, 2026 |
| Will Meghan Frank be the next CEO of Lululemon?No | sell | 10 | $0.602 | $6.02 | Apr 11, 2026 |